140
submitted 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) by SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net to c/news@hexbear.net

A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like "in Minecraft") and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is of a Khorramshahr-4 medium range ballistic missile, which has a range of about 2000km.


As I said in the last megathread, trying to figure out what exactly is happening is becoming ever more difficult. The gist of things is that Iran has, very justifiably, refused to negotiate (assassinating their leader and striking their country with hundreds of missiles in the middle of negotiations causes some reluctance to return to the table, I suppose). Censorship across the Middle East has further ramped up, with reportedly extreme punishments for posting footage of Iranian strikes online. From what I can gather, Iran's number of strikes have stabilized at a comfortable daily rate, with strikes into both the Gulf monarchies and Occupied Palestine continuing apace. Official charts of these strikes over time seem very disconnected from reality on the ground, but again, it's hard to really get at the specifics.

The messaging on how long the war is expected to last is rather muddled on both sides. The Trump administration fluctuates more than daily - and even sometimes in the same speech - on whether the war is already won or whether it's going to last months longer. The US seems to be coming up a new possible scheme every few hours: a ground invasion with the Kurds? A ground invasion without the Kurds? An amphibious assault? A series of commando operations to steal Iranian uranium? A massive parachuting operation into Tehran? Fuck it, let's just send the Navy into the Strait of Hormuz? There doesn't seem to be a coherent plan for continuing hostilities beyond firing more and more of a limited stockpile of cruise missiles into mostly non-military targets, hitting easily replaceable drone and missile launchers with a limited stockpile of drones, and burning a limited stockpile of interceptors at an astounding rate (and, in the process, disarming every other Western-aligned country of their interceptors).

Meanwhile, from Iran, I've seen rumors and reports from classic anonymous "senior IRGC officials" (no doubt some invented by Zionists to sow confusion), that I don't know how to substantiate, ranging anywhere from "If the US pulls back their forces now, we will restart negotiations," to "It doesn't matter what the US or the Zionists do or say, we aren't stopping until every last trace of Zionism in the Middle East has been extinguished," to a few positions in between those poles. Despite the damage to infrastructure in Iran, it doesn't seem like there has been any political or social fracturing. Not to speak too soon - perhaps the West will start earnestly trying to overfly Iranian territory to drop their very plentiful bombs soon - but every indication is that there will be no regime change nor societal collapse in Iran in the short and medium term.

The US is desperately trying - and mostly failing - to keep a lid on the economic firestorm they have ignited. There has been much ado about oil prices and oil futures and indexes and what all the myriad Lines going up and down signify and things like that, which is befitting such a financialized empire which is so disconnected from the actual physical flows of materials and much more attuned to vibes and speeches. The only thing I'm personally paying much attention to on the economic front is the drones and missiles slamming into fossil fuel infrastructure, the Hormuz blockade, and the resulting global shockwave of shortages, stoppages, closures, bankruptcies, and force majeures spreading out from the epicenter that is Iran.


Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[-] Tervell@hexbear.net 80 points 2 weeks ago

stonks-down https://archive.ph/2kWce

US has burned through ‘years’ of munitions since start of Iran war

Rapid depletion of stockpile including Tomahawk missiles raises pressure on Trump over cost of conflict

more

The Trump administration has burned through “years” of critical munitions since the start of the war with Iran, said three people familiar with the matter, fuelling concerns about the rising cost of the conflict and the US’s ability to replenish its stockpiles. The rapid depletion of weaponry included advanced long-range Tomahawk missiles, the people said. It is a “massive expenditure of Tomahawks”, said one person familiar with the US military’s use of munitions. “The navy will be feeling this expenditure for several years.” The rising costs will pile pressure on Donald Trump as the war has brought a critical maritime trade corridor to a halt and sent oil prices above $100 a barrel. In a midterm election year, the war is also increasingly unpopular with American voters who face soaring petrol prices and are questioning whether the president has signed the country up for another prolonged conflict in the Middle East.

The Pentagon is expected to submit a formal request to the White House and Congress in the coming days for as much as $50bn in additional spending for the military. The supplemental funding request will set the stage for what is likely to be a fierce funding battle on Capitol Hill that could lay bare growing unease among lawmakers about the administration’s actions. Lisa Murkowski, a Republican on the Senate appropriations committee charged with approving the federal budget, has warned lawmakers will chafe at any expectation from the White House of a blank cheque. The Pentagon must “engage” Congress, she said on Thursday. “You’ve got to be able to provide us with information, as requested, justification,” she said. “Don’t just take for granted that the Congress’s role is basically just to write the cheque.” Any supplemental bill to fund the war in Iran could face a battle in the House of Representatives and the Senate. Republicans control the House by a razor-thin margin and fiscal conservatives are likely to recoil at any big outlay of taxpayer money, especially if the White House tries to attach additional public spending such as tariff relief for farmers to a military funding package.

do "fiscal conservatives" even still exist as a coherent group?

Democratic lawmakers, who have criticised the Iran war as illegal because Trump did not seek congressional approval, are also likely to balk at allocating more money for the Pentagon. Former Republican Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell on Thursday urged his colleagues “who oppose the president’s use of force against Iran” to approve the military’s supplemental budget request all the same, arguing that it presents an “overdue opportunity to invest in urgent and strategic defence priorities”. “Weakness invites challenge,” McConnell, a frequent critic of Trump in his second term, said on the Senate floor. “But our adversaries have sought to weaken and undermine America regardless of who the commander-in-chief is.” Pentagon officials earlier this week told senators that the war had cost more than $11bn in the first six days of strikes. The costs were overwhelmingly for munitions. “The rounds we’re firing — Patriot rounds, Thaad rounds . . . these weapon systems, each round is millions of dollars,” Democratic senator and Air Force veteran Mark Kelly told MS Now. Meanwhile, the Iranians are “firing cheap drones”, he said, referring to the Shaheds that US intelligence officials say Iran is able to produce quickly for $30,000 a piece. “The math on this doesn’t work,” Kelly added.

uh, I'm getting the feeling the US isn't exactly lobbing cheap JDAMs at stuff...

The military is expected to brief Congress on munitions expended in the coming days, a person familiar with the matter said. US officials have expressed growing concerns in recent years that the use of critical munitions could outpace their production, particularly if the US is drawn into conflicts with adversaries such as Russia or China. This could leave US stockpiles dangerously depleted and the US military less ready to confront future wars.

"could" tito-laugh you're way past that pal

Murkowski recalled US administrations explaining to Ukraine and European partners in recent years that “we would do more” to help supply them, “but we don’t have the stockpiles”. “With the level of inventory that [US operations in Iran are] going through on a daily basis, I think we all have reason to ask good questions about how we are doing on munitions,” Murkowski added. US defence secretary Pete Hegseth last week said: “We’ve got no shortage of munitions. Our stockpiles of defensive and offensive weapons allow us to sustain this campaign as long as we need to.” White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt on Thursday said: “The US military has more than enough munitions, ammo and weapons stockpiles to achieve the goals of Operation Epic Fury laid out by President Trump and beyond.” “Nevertheless, President Trump has always been intensely focused on strengthening our armed forces and he will continue to call on defence contractors to more speedily build American-made weapons, which are the best in the world.”

Tomahawks, subsonic cruise missiles with a 1,000lb warhead, are manufactured by US weapons maker RTX at a cost of $3.6mn each. The US military has bought only 322 of the missiles in the past five years, including the 57 the navy has earmarked for fiscal year 2026 at a cost of $206.6mn. It stands to replenish just a fraction of what it has probably used in recent days. The US also used at least 124 of the missiles to target Houthi militants in Yemen and Iran’s nuclear facilities in 2024 and 2025. Washington used more than two dozen of the missiles in its attack on the regime’s facility at Isfahan, General Dan Caine, chairman of the joint chiefs of staff, said last June. The Center for International and Strategic Studies estimated the US used 168 Tomahawks in the first 100 hours of the war that started on February 28.

well, uh, 124 + 24 (and it's actually suppose to be more than two dozen, so maybe something like 30, but let's go with just 24 for simplicity's sake) + 168 = 316, which is, uh, nearly the entirety of the past 5 years production bleh

“It’s a lot. And it will take years to replace,” said one US lawmaker of the Tomahawks, as well as US reserves of Thaad interceptors and Patriot missiles, critical air defences against the barrage of missiles and drones that Iran has unleashed on US and allied assets in the Middle East since the start of the war. The US is spending “many billions” on a war that is proving deeply unpopular with Americans, Ron Wyden, the top Democrat on the Senate financial services committee, said on Thursday. The cost of it “goes up practically as we talk”, he said. “It’s an astronomical sum.”

[-] CriticalXipport@hexbear.net 65 points 2 weeks ago

We get closer every day

load more comments (5 replies)
this post was submitted on 11 Mar 2026
140 points (100.0% liked)

news

24686 readers
747 users here now

Welcome to c/news! We aim to foster a book-club type environment for discussion and critical analysis of the news. Our policy objectives are:

We ask community members to appreciate the uncertainty inherent in critical analysis of current events, the need to constantly learn, and take part in the community with humility. None of us are the One True Leftist, not even you, the reader.

Newcomm and Newsmega Rules:

The Hexbear Code of Conduct and Terms of Service apply here.

  1. Link titles: Please use informative link titles. Overly editorialized titles, particularly if they link to opinion pieces, may get your post removed.

  2. Content warnings: Posts on the newscomm and top-level replies on the newsmega should use content warnings appropriately. Please be thoughtful about wording and triggers when describing awful things in post titles.

  3. Fake news: No fake news posts ever, including April 1st. Deliberate fake news posting is a bannable offense. If you mistakenly post fake news the mod team may ask you to delete/modify the post or we may delete it ourselves.

  4. Link sources: All posts must include a link to their source. Screenshots are fine IF you include the link in the post body. If you are citing a Twitter post as news, please include the Xcancel.com (or another Nitter instance) or at least strip out identifier information from the twitter link. There is also a Firefox extension that can redirect Twitter links to a Nitter instance, such as Libredirect or archive them as you would any other reactionary source.

  5. Archive sites: We highly encourage use of non-paywalled archive sites (i.e. archive.is, web.archive.org, ghostarchive.org) so that links are widely accessible to the community and so that reactionary sources don’t derive data/ad revenue from Hexbear users. If you see a link without an archive link, please archive it yourself and add it to the thread, ask the OP to fix it, or report to mods. Including text of articles in threads is welcome.

  6. Low effort material: Avoid memes/jokes/shitposts in newscomm posts and top-level replies to the newsmega. This kind of content is OK in post replies and in newsmega sub-threads. We encourage the community to balance their contribution of low effort material with effort posts, links to real news/analysis, and meaningful engagement with material posted in the community.

  7. American politics: Discussion and effort posts on the (potential) material impacts of American electoral politics is welcome, but the never-ending circus of American Politics© Brought to You by Mountain Dew™ is not welcome. This refers to polling, pundit reactions, electoral horse races, rumors of who might run, etc.

  8. Electoralism: Please try to avoid struggle sessions about the value of voting/taking part in the electoral system in the West. c/electoralism is right over there.

  9. AI Slop: Don't post AI generated content. Posts about AI race/chip wars/data centers are fine.

founded 5 years ago
MODERATORS