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Who is the opposition leader?
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Beyond "whomever holds the highest office at the moment," there's "whomever gets the biggest media coverage." That might be Gavin Newsom, who's not very popular, even in his home state. Bernie Sanders and AOC always get good coverage, but that's partly because they're so far outside the mainstream.
US isn't really set up for singular leaders at the national level, which is part of what makes Trump so unusual.