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Warner Bros. Discovery Says Ongoing Strikes Will Mean $300M-$500M Hit to 2023 Earnings
(www.hollywoodreporter.com)
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this post was submitted on 05 Sep 2023
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I still think people are vastly over-estimating how close we are to that kind of AI.
Reminds me of all the people who thought we were close to Ready Player One style VR back when VR was taking off a few years ago. And now VR stuff is clearly dying, the fad petering out with the technology only making relatively minor improvements from where it started (at least compared to what fiction portrays).
I mean, I said it would take a couple decades...
But the longer they waited to strike, the less leverage they have.
VR is completely different because your asking people to pay the price of a big screen for something only used while gaming. This doesn't require consumers to buy any special equipment.
If you want a gaming analogy, look at the cutscenes in new games like Baldurs Gate 3. It won't be long before AI eliminates the need for mocap. And at that point AI could write and generate a show all on its own
20 years is plenty of time for that
I think we're '20 years away' from it in the same way we were '20 years away' from practical fusion power in the 50's. It feels close, but we don't even know what we're actually trying to achieve. People don't even agree or understand what human intelligence is, what creativity is. You can't progress down this path like we do with newer, faster processors. It'll take a new epiphany, a whole new approach to get to the kind of AI people have been dreaming of and writing stories about. You could give the machine a thousand times the processing power and all the training data possible, but it will never really progress past a the current shallow mimicking of intelligence. There's no mechanism for it to grow or be corrected on the facts. That will take something new.
Yes, exactly this. The LLMs have done an amazing job of faking AI and it's tricked a ton of people into believing that we're nearly there, but we're still a long way off from AI. Back in the 70s everyone thought AI was just around the corner as well, and while we're much closer today, we're still not close enough everyone should be worried about it. What everyone should be worried about though is the stupid executives buying all the snake oil and firing everyone before they realize they've been conned.
This isn't a battle against AI, it's a battle against dumb executives once again trying to figure out how to fuck their employees to make even more money for themselves.
VR stuff is not dying. You're just in the Trough of Disillusionment of the Gartner hype cycle. Look at Steam Sales or Oculus Sales for their VR games. Look at the new headsets that continue to arrive to the market. The VR market might still be relatively small, but it's always improving and growing.
Edit lol no counter argument, just downvotes from kids who refuse to believe they might be wrong.
VR headsets are still improving and still being sold, no disagreement there. But when I search for great VR games to play those lists look almost the same as when I got into VR several years ago. They're still recommending only games that came out years ago and that I've already played. At most they might recommend a new mod to turn a regular game into VR. Where is the content? I thought I'd one day upgrade from my HTC Vive, but I don't see the point if all I'm going to play are the games I've already played.