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this post was submitted on 09 Sep 2023
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You might need to check your sources about how the war is going... Russia hasn't committed its full army to this war.
This doesn't mean what you seem to think it means. It's not the case that Russia is somehow holding back and has huge additional reserves and resources that it can throw at the conflict. The Russian military isn't about to collapse or anything, but it's not doing great either and has largely been exposed as far weaker than was previously supposed.
Yes I agree, particularly in the fact that the corruption and facade that was the Russian military reporting structure made it seem to Russian leadership that they were more powerful than they thought. This is the problem with having so many yes men surrounding an authoritarian leader.
However as we're hitting the two year mark on the war soon, the Russian military has likely become more competent and less corrupt than before with the increased attention.
That's a fair take and may well be accurate. I am no expert and accordingly don't have a strong opinion either way, and that's leaving aside the rather obvious point that most/many of our so-called "experts" keep getting it wrong in the first place.
Remember when Kyiv was going to fall in a matter of days, then that got adjusted into a matter of weeks and then months and now here we are a year and a half later?
The loud and clear lesson from that is that the so-called experts often don't know what the fuck they're talking about.
not that I don't believe you, but do you have sources yourself? Lotta propaganda flying everywhere
https://understandingwar.org/publications?type[]=map&tid[]=300&field_lastname_value=&sort_by=created&sort_order=DESC
And https://understandingwar.org/publications
Generally you want to look at the sources that the military use and not sources the media use to justify their positions.
Russia can’t commit its full army to the war, for quite a few reasons. One of which is that it’s “full army” has been decisively proven to be WAY more of a paper tiger than anybody would have guessed.
The scale and duration of this war are orders of magnitude are far larger than anyone in Russia was planning for in January of 2022. They discovered that their battalions were rife with ghost soldiers so the officers could scoop up their pay. They discovered their modern tank stockpiles were not only unmaintained, but also often scavenged for parts to either repair other vehicles or simply sell on the black market. They discovered that, incredibly, their Air Force was unable to fully suppress a force that (on paper) was a mere fraction of their size and supposed capability.
This is scratching the surface. This shit goes way deeper, and it involves their whole military industrial complex, as well as pretty much all seriously profitable ventures in Russia. If money is made at any serious scale, someone’s going to put together a scheme to take a cut of it. That’s how the country works. And it’s biting them in the ass right now.
Yup I agree. But much like the Ukrainians were able to mobilize, Russia is doing the same. The paper tiger isn't all paper though, they really do have 5 times the population as Ukraine.