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this post was submitted on 11 Sep 2023
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This is very much like the people saying airplanes will never fly after watching the prototypes fail in the 1900s.
It's 100% guaranteed that computers will be able to write software much better and faster than humans. The only variable is how long it will take.
I think within a decade. Could be wrong and it could be two decades but I doubt it.
Think about it - these bots are already being used by humans to solve tasks every day. The only difference now compared to the future is that now there is a slow human typing something on a keyboard.
In the future, you will have bots talking to bots, millions of times per second, and models will learn in real time, not being pre-trained.
I'm very confident about this, yes. But it's still just my opinion.
Computers are already able to write software faster than humans, this is called compilation. Languages are only a way to describe a problem and the computer automatically builds an extremely efficient software to solve it. No language models involved, so no randomicity, no biases and no errors caused by the inability to follow elementary syllogisms. Language models are not intelligent and they will never be. Yes, true AI imho is possible, but it won't be a statistical model trying to predict words in a phrase, this is ridiculous and just companies marketing which you continue to take the bait.
Yep true AI is not language models, this is just the beginning.
Compilation turns source code into binaries, and that's because humans wants to write code rather than machine code, again because we are not smart enough to quickly write machine code.
I expect computers to skip all these steps completely in the future and just generate programs immediately.
Programming languages are only a way to describe a problem. Even with AI if you want it to build software for you, you have to describe your problem and to describe problems human languages are not that efficient, soooo... AI would require kinda a programming language, just an high level one. Maybe you can avoid writing logics, but as a software engineer, writing logics is the easiest and less time demanding task in serious software development.
You will be able to talk to the computer but more importantly, the computer will already know a lot of patterns what is the best way to do something under the conditions you will describe.
It will be like having only top programmers write code when you explain to them what you want, except much faster. There could also be brain implants to interact directly, but that I think is at least 30 years away.