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this post was submitted on 16 Oct 2023
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No one gives a shit what Putin has to say about anything. He's forever relegated to the little kids table with Kim Jong Un and the rest of the wannabe dictators around the world. He can't even project strength in Ukraine, much less undermine American hegemony on the world stage. Iran is largely in the same boat. China may be able to take advantage of the situation to a limited degree but the rest of the article is fanciful thinking.
Anyone who thinks China will be pleased for a more chaotic global situation doesn't really understand the Chinese strategic situation.
China borders 14 countries. Four of those states are nuclear-armed: India, North Korea, Pakistan and Russia. Of those four, only Russia and North Korea are its allies (but it remains to be seen how loyal they are, considering their subordinate status.) Three of the four, Pakistan, Russia and North Korea are one crisis away from total collapse, a nuclear nightmare scenario for China.
China shares a border with Afghanistan and Pakistan, both hotbeds for extremist activity and both teetering on the edge of chaos themselves. Further chaos in the Middle East makes this situation less predictable for China.
Russia's war in Ukraine has turned Kazakhstan and many other Central Asian powers towards the West just as China was making big inroads into those countries.
China needs the West to be stable because China does not have the consumer base to sustain its own economy, and finding new markets has been borderline impossible.
If you want to know who is responsible for the chaos, look to who it benefits: Vladimir Putin, who is losing his disastrous war in Ukraine and desperately needs the West to reduce its support; Iran who are facing unprecedented social unrest with no sign of abatement; and Benjamin Netanyahu, who has been stoking the flames of this conflagration with the desperation of a man whose only path away from prison and disgrace is a "justified" war that might get his next election over the line.
Agreed on most points. I'm not sure how a war in Israel helps Putin in Ukraine though. If you assume support for Israel means less support for Ukraine then sure, but I don't think it's that black and white. If there's one thing Americans love to spend money on it's war and there is plenty of cash to go around.
Personally I'd rather give all the aid Ukraine needs and let Israel sort out their own business. The two situations aren't really comparable both in terms of the actors involved or the reasons the two conflicts began. Putin and Hamas do both represent evil organizations but if I had to pick which one to deal with I'd pick Putin every time. That's partly for personal reasons but I also think it would do more good for the world as a whole.
Very true. The US could sustain full operations in both theaters without breaking a sweat. Both of those theaters are tiny compared to the US military industrial complex and it's force projection.