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[-] circuscritic@lemmy.ca 2 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

If there were munitions or explosives stored at the hospital, it could cause that.

I'm not saying the IAF didn't do this, but that rocket artillery does fail, and Hamas does use a lot of different soft targets to store supplies. So it's possible that a failed rocket detonated a munition stockpile.

It's also possible that this was an IAF strike, either out of pure genocidal intent, or a targeting munition depot.*

Or... Or...

We just have to wait and see for further evidence and information for proper attribution.

Regardless, a lot of innocent people just died, and a lot more are going to.

*Even if it was used to store munitions, I don't believe that would morally justify an IAF strike, even if would make it "legitimate" (legal) military target.

[-] zerfuffle@lemmy.ml 4 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Videos show no indication of a secondary detonation of that size (or at all). It's a single large primary strike. Moreover, Hamas does not have the capability to launch a rocket with this explosive capacity. Hamas' best rocket is the Ayyash 250, which wouldn't even come close to this much damage. The amount of damage in this strike is much more in line with an American ATACMS or a Russian Iskander (and, in fact, seems larger) and Hamas is decades from developing that capability. It's far more likely to be a large guided munition like a JDAM.

The Russia-Ukraine war has shown has plenty of examples of what happens when you strike an ammo depot. You're free to compare for yourself.

[-] circuscritic@lemmy.ca 0 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

You just cited three "comparable" munitions whose payloads and characteristics are widely different. Two of which are cruise missles, and conveniently, all in the news recently.

Your analysis is also based on questionable footage, which by the way, has sound (sound effects?) of artillery, or rocket artillery, not that of a cruise missile.

But sure, if that footage is authentic, that noise could be something like a JDAM, or another air dropped bomb, even if it does sound more like incoming rocket artillery IMO.

My point is just that it's irresponsible to ascribe definite attribution with the presently available information. That's it.

[-] zerfuffle@lemmy.ml 4 points 1 year ago

The sound of the munition used in the strike and the size of the explosion is in line with JDAMs used in prior conflicts, not that of a misfired missile: https://x.com/wyattreed13/status/1714338974544625692?s=20

Feel free to compare with the use of other JDAMs: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A_uwzugvv-g

Hamas simply doesn't have the ability to launch a warhead of the capacity being claimed.

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this post was submitted on 17 Oct 2023
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