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this post was submitted on 05 Nov 2023
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politics
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RFK is polling at 22%. Winning independents with 36%.
I don’t think we can really dismiss him yet.
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/11/01/spoiler-alert-rfk-jr-takes-eye-popping-22-in-poll-against-biden-trump-00124855
Yeah, but RFK Jr is a nutjob. His supporters are peeling off of Trumpian crazies.
It might not be so simple.
“In a warning sign for Democrats, Kennedy was the leading choice for young voters, aged 18-34, in the poll’s surveyed population — 38 percent of whom chose the environmental lawyer. From the same age group, 32 percent picked Biden and 27 percent went for Trump.”
Without the particulars of whom was surveyed, that is just meaningless tripe.
I gave a link to it up the thread. It’s the most recent Quinnipiac poll. If you want another rude awakening, look at the latest NYT/Senna poll.
The polls also said there would be a "red tidal wave" in the 2022 elections. Don't trust the polls.
Polls are certainly not predictive this far out, but they are shifting significantly right now. And they don’t rule out a strong RFK run if more Dems decide to ditch Biden.
That doesn't tell me anything except the analysis is absurdly biased. "The environmental lawyer..." What a crock of shit. That's like describing Trump as a real estate mogul or Charles Manson as a Western Union delivery guy. Maybe once, but no longer.