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this post was submitted on 27 Nov 2023
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chapotraphouse
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If Hezbollah doesn't get involved and in the mind of Americans this war remains a "low-level" conflict which is an obscene but useful phrase to use - I see the logic in what you're saying. But I entirely disagree with you if Hezbollah gets involved. At that point the carnage will be happening in at least three places - Gaza, the West Bank, and Lebanon. I'm no armchair military strategist and I have no knowledge of what Iran can do indirectly. But it doesn't seem crazy to me that if Hezbollah is at war - Iran uses proxies so they have deniability to kill Americans soldiers and more than one at a time. A handful at a time? More?
I didn't even mention the West Bank which Americans have been basically entirely ignoring. It's a low-level conflict but I wonder for how much longer. If Hezbollah is at war - the West Bank explodes. And there it won't just be Israeli soldiers killing Palestinians. The settlers in the West Bank will watch rockets hitting the heart of Israel - they'll go on murderous rampages. Images of Jewish settlers killing Palestinians doing pogroms will be on American tv news. Americans will learn definitions of "pogrom" and the murders can hardly be pushed away with phrases like "The IDF is the world's most moral army". The IDF will be complicit in murder to a degree I don't think the average American can ignore. Maybe even boomers start to learn the meme "Are we the baddies?"