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2024 Predictions
(hexbear.net)
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this post was submitted on 01 Jan 2024
117 points (100.0% liked)
chapotraphouse
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AI fake fools a politician who complains on TV -200
Political assassination anywhere in the world +180
Joe Biden dies +150
A VP becomes president +300
Legal battle for whether Israel pledges trump free speech -100
Israel wins the legal battle +400
A fascist doesn't become president +99999
Bitcoin's price changes by $40,000 +200
Retail real estate prices collapse +300
Retail real estate gets bailed out +600
Any once in a lifetime economic collapse +200
Any once in a lifetime weather event +200
US involvement in an African military conflict +300
please refrain from using yankkkee odds, thank you
Death to America
I don't know how they work outside the UFC and I think I fucked up using Investopedia
i cannot read vegas odds and i refuse to learn.
represent the odds in dollars or else gambling is banned
edit: i will accept fractional odds, begrudgingly
decimal odds are the superior format and i will die on this hill
Death to America
There will be a few of these
Converting this to decimal odds like a normal person:
AI fake fools a politician who complains on TV: 1.5
Political assassination anywhere in the world: 2.8
Joe Biden dies: 2.5
A VP becomes president: 4 (why is this less likely than Biden kicking the bucket?)
Legal battle for whether Israel pledges trump free speech: 2
Israel wins the legal battle: 5
A fascist doesn't become president: 1001
Bitcoin's price changes by $40,000: 3
Retail real estate prices collapse: 4
Retail real estate gets bailed out: 7
Any once in a lifetime economic collapse: 3
Any once in a lifetime weather event: 3
US involvement in an African military conflict:4
What I should have done for that VP becomes president is Trump wins and then dies for a big 500 odds payout ~~alongside a sizeable Biden dies at any point this year for a 100 payout (which is on there)~~