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China tells US it will 'never compromise' on Taiwan
(www.bbc.com)
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this post was submitted on 10 Jan 2024
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Honestly, I think the closest parallel to Taiwan in the 2020s is Cuba in, say, 1980s.
Their biggest sponsor is retreating from the world globally and can no longer really afford to support a full military detachment there indefinitely, especially after fucking up in Afghanistan for the last decade. There's a ton of economic reasons to just drop this bullshit and be normal, but they're too prideful to let the issue go. All their neighbors are increasingly hostile to the jilted-ex attitude their neighbor is displaying, but when you've got nukes who is really going to argue with you?
So the US perpetuates a blockade of the island for the next 40 years out of spite, hoping that one day the Cuban government will just kinda collapse and let the Americans back in.
And the Chinese will continue to economically love-bomb Taiwan, while picking fights with the US by running military drills around the island's edges, hoping against hope that they'll eventually get a better reception in Taipei than they did in Hong Kong.