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this post was submitted on 27 Jan 2024
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politics
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She needs to do well enough for Trump's big mouth to alienate as many of her supporters as possible, but still ultimately lose the primary because let's face it, right now she's going to win if it's her against Biden, unless if Biden plays the rescheduling card.
Trump will run as an independent if anyone else wins the Republican Primary, from a jail cell if necessary. If they nominate anyone else, he'll split the vote and secure Biden's second term.
Haley only wins against Biden if Trump is out of the race, and then only if MAGA dipshits are willing to switch allegiances.
Let's be realistic, Haley is getting nominated because Trump died or because he was barred from the race somehow.
He might try to mount a write in campaign but at that point the entire RNC apparatus will be mustered against him, as many supposed loyalists as he's stacked the place with, I imagine very few among RNC leadership would actually have the appetite for being seen openly undermining a court order barring him from office under the 14th amendment, or mounting a write in campaign for his ghost.
I disagree. Not because they want him to win, but because they want to run for office themselves, and such brazen disregard for the judicial process would greatly appeal to MAGAts.