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this post was submitted on 14 Feb 2024
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Futurology
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In 2005 I pivoted away from a highly succesful career in IT operations and data center design. I told everyone that IT would be commoditized within the decade. They looked at me like I was crazy. Within ten years, most execs were moving or had moved from in-house operations to clouds based providers (AWS). Now cloud hosted is the default.
In 2015 I, a fiscal conservative until ~2012, started telling people that AI was coming and that we really needed to start work on safety nets like universal basic income. In both cases I had early adopter first hand knowledge, but it didn't matter. I have many other examples like these.
People don't want to hear that their way of life is coming to an end, until it has. We live at a time were the coming of change is lighting fast when it finally arrives, but it is also telegraphed years in advance. What the media calls "AI" is already here and you cannot reverse it, but this was always the plan, from the moment the first data warehouses came online forty or so years ago.