[-] Lugh@futurology.today 3 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Sure, I changed it to Time, who I think did the original reporting.

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submitted 2 days ago* (last edited 1 day ago) by Lugh@futurology.today to c/futurology@futurology.today
[-] Lugh@futurology.today 1 points 2 days ago

Open source AI is the equal of anything investors are pouring hundreds of billions into. You can have its expertise for free. Soon, that expertise will do the work any lawyer or doctor can do. Everyone on planet Earth will be able to have that for free.

It strikes me the author has it right on AI tending towards abundance.

[-] Lugh@futurology.today 1 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

This article feel AI written.

I see a lot of people getting AI to rewrite their writing for 'polish', which might be what is happening here. However, looking at the totality of their thought across their other articles, it definitely feels like this originates from a human.

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[-] Lugh@futurology.today 1 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

China has a well developed plan for Space stretching out into the 2050s and beyond, and sticks to it.

Every new US administration chops & changes with NASA. That's how its ended up with its current nonsensical half Artemis/half-Space X plans for the Moon that are destined to fail.

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Storing heat for months is more effective than you might think. There are systems across northern Europe where insulation is used to store excess heat from summer for winter use. This approach is theoretically simpler. It does away with the need for insulation. In this case, pyrimidone, a molecule related to DNA, changes molecular structure. Solar energy provides the energy to do it, and it's being undone, releases energy.

But there are still problems commercializing this for home use. In particular, the chemical reactions to change the pyrimidone depend on other chemicals, are multi-step, and relatively inefficient. Still, the promise is there. Combining this tech, heat pumps, and insulation means we should have future buildings that need little or no external energy for seasonal heating & cooling.

A fluid can store solar energy and then release it as heat months later - Sunlight can cause a molecule to change structure, and then release heat later

[-] Lugh@futurology.today 2 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

Fingers crossed that 'third time is a charm' for ispace & they succeed with Hakuto-R Mission 3.

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submitted 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) by Lugh@futurology.today to c/futurology@futurology.today

The 'Will AI Kill Hollywood Narrative?' had a moment back in 2024 when OpenAI released their SORA video generation model. For the first time, people saw an AI-generated video that was nearly equal to what they saw on TV and in the movies. OpenAI didn't capitalise on that, but a new video AI model called Seedance looks like it might be about to fulfil that promise.

The US TV & film industry is already struggling. It rapidly expanded during Covid, but has now shrunk to be much smaller than it was before Covid. This isn't down to AI. The hours spent watching TV & movies are shrinking, as more and more people spend their time watching online videos. These are mostly made for free by other users, or in a content-creator ecosystem separate from traditional TV/movies.

AI like Seedance looks set to turbo-charge the online content-creator ecosystem. Soon they'll have (almost) all the advantages Hollywood has, but won't have its costs. It's hard to imagine that the era of movie budgets in the hundreds of millions can last much longer.

Seedance in Action - Tom Cruise Vs. Brad Pitt

Study: Social Video Beats Traditional TV for Young Viewers

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"New figures reveal that total payroll growth was revised downward by approximately 403,000 jobs. Crucially, this downward revision occurred while real GDP remained robust, including a 3.7 per cent growth rate in the fourth quarter. This decoupling — maintaining high output with significantly lower labour input — is the hallmark of productivity growth………..and I identified a cooling in entry-level hiring within AI-exposed sectors, where recruitment for junior roles………But there is cause for further optimism…..."

Optimism? It's worth bearing in mind that, as AI companies suck up hundreds of billions in cash and get their electricity costs subsidized, for them to succeed, humans with jobs must fail. They'll argue that's zero-sum thinking, and AI will create more jobs than it destroys, but how many people really believe them?

The AI productivity take-off is finally visible New economic data suggests the US is transitioning to a phase of measurable gains from the technology

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Now that AI can seamlessly imitate a person's voice and likeness, this means our digital likeness is virtually immortal. If AI has access to enough of your conversation and writing, it can probably do a good job of impersonating your personality, too.

The default in copyright law is that everyone owns their own likeness. It's why you often see faces blurred out on TV. It means the production company didn't get the person to sign a model release form. However, the law is much less clear about likeness ownership after death. It varies by country and state, and generally gives much fewer rights to the individual.

Is it time to strengthen those laws? The thought of being the property of Big Tech in perpetuity is dystopian and depressing, even if you won't be around to experience it.

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Here's a fact that might surprise most people. Although the US is adding 70GW of new capacity versus China's 400GW in 2026, proportionately more of the US's will be from renewables. Largely because China is still adding coal and gas. By the end of 2026, 36% of total US generating capacity will be from renewables.

China's unemployment rate is 5.2%, and that rises 16.5% for its youth unemployment rate. If they are a centrally planned economy, why are they wasting money on coal & gas imports, when they could be building more factories to switch to 99% renewables for new capacity like America is doing?

The US's 99% adoption rate illustrates renewables' unassailable advantage. They are cheaper than everything else going, and not only that, they have years of price falls to come. Just imagine, renewables are at 99% adoption rate, even with a Republican administration that is deeply hostile to them. That's how unstoppable renewables are. Nuclear is dead in the water. Any fool investing money in its future only has themselves to blame when they lose it all, or have to coming begging for bailouts.

Solar, wind, and battery storage are forecasted to provide 99% of new electricity generating capacity in 2026 according to new data released by the Energy Information Administration.

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As the "Are We the Baddies?" meme suggests. If you're a country's military, in a democracy, that wants to carry out mass civilian surveillance and use killer robots, maybe you're the one with the problem. Anthropic can be as principled as they like, there are plenty who'll be happy to help - Peter Thiel's Palantir is eager and enthusiastic about implementing this agenda.

It's depressing that none of the other Big Tech firms have any scruples about this.

Pentagon threatens to cut off Anthropic in AI safeguards dispute

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"There's no question about it — whether you want it or not — the best way to help some of these communities is gonna be AI-based avatars," Oz, the head of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, said recently at an event focused on addiction and mental health hosted by Action for Progress."

Medicare and Medicaid are the US's universal healthcare programs for older and low-income people. They've faced steep cuts in funding since Trump came to power, particularly in rural areas.

New research in Rwanda and Pakistan shows LLMs can outperform human doctors in diagnostic success. We're heading for a world where everyone gets the same standard of AI healthcare, and it's near free & universally accessible. It will be a big improvement in Rwanda and Pakistan, and it will probably be an improvement for poorer people in developed countries, too.

Dr. Oz pushes AI avatars as a fix for rural health care. Not so fast, critics say

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Sick of expensive gasoline and overpriced gasoline cars? Not only are EVs getting cheaper than gas cars (and still have years of economy-of-scale price reductions ahead), but paired with renewables, their fuel source is getting ever cheaper, too.

This is how the fossil fuel industry will die. The alternatives will just keep getting cheaper and cheaper. In a few years' time, it will be obvious to everyone that only spendthrift fools will be choosing gasoline-powered cars.

This state’s power prices are plummeting as it nears 100% renewables - South Australia is proving to the world that relying largely on wind and solar energy with battery back-up is incredibly cheap, with electricity prices tumbling by 30 per cent in a year and sometimes going negative

[-] Lugh@futurology.today 77 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

This is what is being banned.

  • AI used for social scoring (e.g., building risk profiles based on a person’s behavior).
  • AI that manipulates a person’s decisions subliminally or deceptively.
  • AI that exploits vulnerabilities like age, disability, or socioeconomic status.
  • AI that attempts to predict people committing crimes based on their appearance.
  • AI that uses biometrics to infer a person’s characteristics, like their sexual orientation.
  • AI that collects “real time” biometric data in public places for the purposes of law enforcement.
  • AI that tries to infer people’s emotions at work or school.
  • AI that creates — or expands — facial recognition databases by scraping images online or from security cameras.

Almost everything on this list is outlawing what an authoritarian regime would want. How long before the EU bans the American Big Tech AI, that it seems is toadying to Trump to enable it.

[-] Lugh@futurology.today 154 points 1 year ago

So the same people who have no problem about using other people's copyrighted work, are now crying when the Chinese do the same to them? Find me a nano-scale violin so I can play a really sad song.

[-] Lugh@futurology.today 84 points 1 year ago

Microsoft has cash reserves of $75 billion.

Microsoft - If you really want to convince us that nuclear power is part of the future, why can't you use some of your own money? Why does every single nuclear suggestion always rely on bailouts from taxpayers? Here's a thought, if you can't pay for it yourself - just pick the cheaper option that taxpayers don't have to pay for - you know renewables and grid storage? The stuff that everybody else, all over the world, is building near 99% of new electricity generation with.

[-] Lugh@futurology.today 184 points 1 year ago

As sad as this topic is, this is a much better way to go than a prolonged miserable painful death where you suffer the last months of a terminal disease.

[-] Lugh@futurology.today 83 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

Any time I hear claims that involve hitherto unknown laws of Physics I'm 99.99% sure I'm dealing with BS - but then again, some day someone will probably genuinely pull off such a discovery.

[-] Lugh@futurology.today 190 points 2 years ago

Good news for pigs. I'll be delighted to see factory farming disappear and be replaced by tech like this.

[-] Lugh@futurology.today 196 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

I think fediverse people are wildly overestimating how much 99% of Reddit users care about this. The mod team on r/futurology (I'm one of them) set up a fediverse site just over a month ago (here you go - https://futurology.today/ ) It's been modestly successful so far, but the vast majority of subscribers seem to be coming from elsewhere in the fediverse, not migrants from Reddit.

This is despite the fact we've permanently stickied a post to the top of the sub. r/futurology has over 19 million subscribers, and yet the fediverse is only attracting a tiny trickle of them. I doubt most people on Reddit even know what the word fediverse means.

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Lugh

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