44

"Even in that simplified, proof-of-concept drone, the printed battery achieves a 50 percent boost in energy density, and uses 35 percent more available volume."

Interesting idea, though no word on cost. I doubt they could compete with the economies of scale lithium-ion batteries benefit from. Then again, it isn't always about being the cheapest. The world is full of hundreds of thousands of different models of machines that might benefit from this. Some people will happily pay extra to get a 50% boost in capacity.

Material’s Printed Batteries Put Power in Every Nook and Cranny

[-] Lugh@futurology.today 0 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

So you’re a slop-monger.

Most of the speed improvements are when I'm using it to do things I previously did much more slowly with software, in particular After Effects.

I'm not surprised at the backlash against generative AI & the widespread use of the term 'slop'.

But human creatives have always used tools. Once upon a time, practical effects people, & paper and pen animators would have seen After Effects computer generated animation & VFX as slop, too.

[-] Lugh@futurology.today -5 points 1 day ago

isn’t remotely as useful as they’d claimed it would be.

Maybe, i'm in the minority, but its made a huge improvement to my productivity. I'm self-employed & a big part of my work is making explainer videos & youtube content for clients. Generative AI has boosted that enormously, as has ChatGPT for simplifying software workflows/answering questions.

[-] Lugh@futurology.today 15 points 1 day ago

There is a strange dichotomy for investors here, on the one hand they want to take advantage of an AI boom, on the other hand, the consequences of that boom are the destruction in value of loads of other companies.

54
11
[-] Lugh@futurology.today 5 points 3 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

No, the headline is correct. You're confusing TW & TWh.

An analogy here is how much energy a car engine produces to run the car at any given moment, and the entire energy the car produces over the course of a whole year (which is the figure you quote).

As there are an average of 1,000 - 3,000 hours of sunshine per year (depending on location), if the solar panels were at maximum efficiency - they would produce 10,000 - 30,000 TWh per year.

That upper figure is about the world's annual output in TWh.

42

Renewables (especially solar) & batteries are on an unstoppable path to global domination. The simple reason? Cost. Thanks to economies of scale, they are now the cheapest source of energy - and they still have far to go in getting even cheaper. By the early 2030's, they will be vastly cheaper than the alternatives.

The electrification of the economy that this is driving in China is on the scale of the 19th Industrial Revolution in Europe. What today is China, will tomorrow be the world. Many in the rest of the world seem caught in the tailspin. In particular, clinging to outdated narratives courtesy of the Fossil Fuel industry.

But that's a big mistake. From now on, the only way to credibly plan for and model the future is to talk about it as what it really will be - a place where renewables and batteries will provide almost all energy.

Peak Oil Is Coming: And petrostates are not ready for it

56

“Current advances in AI are dependent on large terrestrial data centers, which require immense amounts of power and cooling,” Musk wrote. “Global electricity demand for AI simply cannot be met with terrestrial solutions, even in the near term, without imposing hardship on communities and the environment.”

Something is not adding up here.

25 kW is an upper-end ballpark for the output of large satellite solar panels, so 25GW is a proxy for the output of 1,000,000 satellites. China installs that amount of solar on a monthly basis these days & in December installed twice that amount of grid storage batteries. SpaceX's larger satellites are costing about $1 million to manufacture these days (so without launch costs), that's $1 trillion dollars. I don't know how much China is spending on its solar & batteries every month, but I'd guess, at most, it's 2-3% of that.

With SpaceX due to launch an IPO, this sounds like another AI bubble in the (attempted) making, but now with NASA downgraded, it's the US's main space launch capacity hitched along for the ride.

This should concern taxpayers, as if/when the AI-bubble bursts, it will present the US space program with two terrible choices - a SpaceX that has failed, or perhaps worse, that is 'too-big-to-fail'.

SpaceX acquires xAI in bid to develop orbital data centers

94
submitted 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) by Lugh@futurology.today to c/futurology@futurology.today

“The solar cells provide us with more than 50% of our needs,” says Boubaker Siala, founder and CEO of Bako Motors. “For example, the B-Van, for commercial use, you can have free energy for about 50 kilometers (31 miles) per day… 17,000 kilometers (10,563 miles) per year. …….. The B-Van, which can carry 400 kilograms (882 pounds) of cargo and has a 100 to 300-kilometer (62 to 186 mile) range, is designed for logistics and last-mile delivery, with prices starting at 24,990 Tunisian dinar ($8,500)."

It varies widely by vehicle type, etc - but travelling 31 miles costs you in the ballpark of $3 in the US or €5 in Europe. So that's around $1,000/€1,800 of free fuel every year if you were using this vehicle most days. The B-Van is small, but perfect for local deliveries, especially if paired with swappable batteries.

You know what will never pay for itself with its self-generation fuel capacity? A gasoline combustion-engine car. Here's another pointer, they're rapidly becoming the transport option of yesteryear.

The solar-powered compact car driving Tunisia’s electric vehicle revolution

39
48
25

Inflatable space station modules are an idea with a lot going for them. Built from multi-layered polymer fabrics far stronger than Kevlar, they have a proven track record of working. The Bigelow Expandable Activity Module (BEAM), launched and attached to the ISS in 2016, is still attached and perfectly functional.

They enjoy other huge advantages. As they can be launched unexpanded, they can easily be accommodated as cargo on today's rockets. They're orders of magnitude cheaper to manufacture than the regular ISS modules, too.

So why hasn't this tech taken off? Why don't we have a huge space station made up of multiple such modules?

Maybe this approach to space station building will soon have its moment. The ISS's days are numbered, and when it's gone, that will only leave the Chinese space station in orbit. NASA has long said it wants its next space station to be commercial. Does this mean Max Space is perfectly poised to enter the breach?

Expandable space stations are back… well at least Max Space thinks they are

7

All other things being equal, this seems like a good investment. Investing $40k per single robo-taxi? I'd be confident that it would make much more profit than that over its lifetime. $40k is about the annual income of a human taxi driver, and a robo-taxi should have a lifetime of several years.

But there's a bigger-picture problem here. All other things are not equal. Each human job you automate away means one less person who can afford to pay for a taxi journey. When this happens at enough scale, suddenly your investment decision doesn't work anymore.

As AI & robotics get closer to being able to do all work, will stock market-funded companies be the economic medium through which they are managed and owned? Many people think so, but how is that supposed to work when there are fewer and fewer people with money to buy things? Isn't it more likely that this provokes an economic emergency where society adopts some state-run model for the economy?

Waabi raises up to $1 billion and partners with Uber to deploy 25,000 robotaxis as the race to dominate self-driving heats up

13
9

As it unloads a dishwasher and shelves all the clean contents in their correct place in the kitchen, Figure AI's latest update to its Helix humanoid robot demonstrates how quickly humanoid robots are advancing.

Two things to keep in mind while watching this video of Helix dealing with a dishwasher. One: From now on, it will only ever get better. Two: What one robot can do, soon all will be able to do.

We are getting closer and closer to humanoid robots that, with minimal training, can tackle most unskilled work. How far away do you think this robot is from being able to stack shelves in a supermarket? It's an unglamorous job, but in the US alone, the Stockers and Order Fillers occupational category — which includes people who refill shelves, racks, and displays- employs 2.8 million people. It's only a matter of time before robots like Helix can replace them. Think they won't be replaced as soon as they can be? Something else to remember - robots will work 24/7, and never need days off, or health & social security contributions.

Ask yourself a question. Can you think of a single elected politician honestly preparing for this reality? I'm guessing you'll draw a blank.

Youtube Video - Introducing Helix 02

[-] Lugh@futurology.today 77 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

This is what is being banned.

  • AI used for social scoring (e.g., building risk profiles based on a person’s behavior).
  • AI that manipulates a person’s decisions subliminally or deceptively.
  • AI that exploits vulnerabilities like age, disability, or socioeconomic status.
  • AI that attempts to predict people committing crimes based on their appearance.
  • AI that uses biometrics to infer a person’s characteristics, like their sexual orientation.
  • AI that collects “real time” biometric data in public places for the purposes of law enforcement.
  • AI that tries to infer people’s emotions at work or school.
  • AI that creates — or expands — facial recognition databases by scraping images online or from security cameras.

Almost everything on this list is outlawing what an authoritarian regime would want. How long before the EU bans the American Big Tech AI, that it seems is toadying to Trump to enable it.

[-] Lugh@futurology.today 154 points 1 year ago

So the same people who have no problem about using other people's copyrighted work, are now crying when the Chinese do the same to them? Find me a nano-scale violin so I can play a really sad song.

[-] Lugh@futurology.today 84 points 1 year ago

Microsoft has cash reserves of $75 billion.

Microsoft - If you really want to convince us that nuclear power is part of the future, why can't you use some of your own money? Why does every single nuclear suggestion always rely on bailouts from taxpayers? Here's a thought, if you can't pay for it yourself - just pick the cheaper option that taxpayers don't have to pay for - you know renewables and grid storage? The stuff that everybody else, all over the world, is building near 99% of new electricity generation with.

[-] Lugh@futurology.today 184 points 1 year ago

As sad as this topic is, this is a much better way to go than a prolonged miserable painful death where you suffer the last months of a terminal disease.

[-] Lugh@futurology.today 83 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

Any time I hear claims that involve hitherto unknown laws of Physics I'm 99.99% sure I'm dealing with BS - but then again, some day someone will probably genuinely pull off such a discovery.

[-] Lugh@futurology.today 190 points 2 years ago

Good news for pigs. I'll be delighted to see factory farming disappear and be replaced by tech like this.

[-] Lugh@futurology.today 70 points 2 years ago

The Chinese automaker BYD reminds me of the famous phrase attributed to the sci-fi writer William Gibson - "The future is already here – it's just not evenly distributed."

Future EV cars will be cheap to own and run. Self-driving tech will lower insurance costs. You can charge them with your home solar setup if you want. They'll last far longer with lower maintenance costs thanks to simple electric engines with few moving parts. As their construction gets more roboticized it will lower their costs further. The batteries that make up a huge chunk of their current costs are falling in price too. CATL, the world’s largest EV battery maker, is set to cut costs in half by mid 2024.

Some people still think gasoline and ICE cars have a long life ahead of them, and don't realize the industries behind both are dead men walking.

[-] Lugh@futurology.today 196 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

I think fediverse people are wildly overestimating how much 99% of Reddit users care about this. The mod team on r/futurology (I'm one of them) set up a fediverse site just over a month ago (here you go - https://futurology.today/ ) It's been modestly successful so far, but the vast majority of subscribers seem to be coming from elsewhere in the fediverse, not migrants from Reddit.

This is despite the fact we've permanently stickied a post to the top of the sub. r/futurology has over 19 million subscribers, and yet the fediverse is only attracting a tiny trickle of them. I doubt most people on Reddit even know what the word fediverse means.

view more: next ›

Lugh

joined 2 years ago
MODERATOR OF