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Post funny things about programming here! (Or just rant about your favourite programming language.)
I think it depends on the adoption of Linux on the desktop. When more people get a taste of what freedom of software brings, they are going to want that for their phones as well.
That or we might just be years away from the next big thing where everyone walks around with AR glasses and the cycle starts all over again with companies competing for a duopoly, and we're just fucked.
I think the adoption everyone is looking for on desktop is deceptive. The type of people that run Linux on desktop are averse to Telemetry and so desktop Linux will report much smaller numbers anyway. Consequently, everyone is hoping for Linux to become the standard in the professional space and there, it's back to application support and the big one, compatibility. It's all good if everyone in an office is using Linux, but they need to interact with the outside world, and if the outside world can't read what they send, then it's not even worth considering switching.
If it was based on desktop adoption, windows phone wouldn't have been a failure.
True, I actually liked Windows phone. But the lack of software support killed it. Even whatsapp pulled the plug.