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this post was submitted on 03 Mar 2024
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politics
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There are weaknesses in both major party candidates but I really err to the side of Biden because 51% of America has voted for him in the past. That is just always going to be an easier sell. Trump has never even hit 47% and he had two attempts.
And that is entirely consistent with current polls that show Trump "up" but not above 47%.
But of course it's also not inconsistent with winning and you'd always rather be ahead than behind. Just an important bit of info that gnaws at me when I'm trying to estimate where I think the race is.