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Michigan Republican unseated after losing to Democrat by 20 points
(www.newsweek.com)
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this post was submitted on 08 May 2024
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They picked up 10% and in an election year with 70% lower turnout. And Obama shed 300k votes from his 2008 high. Incidentally, Hillary shed 300,000 additional votes relative to Obama's 2012 performance. A state that was safely blue decayed to red thanks to growing dissatisfaction in the Dem base. It wasn't until 2020 that Dems recovered.
If voting against the incumbent isn't a sign of abandonment, I'm not sure what else is. Certainly the Nikki Haley Republicans are a shot across Trump's bow.
Perhaps Dems are just banking on a historically low turnout year overall. But no matter how you slice it, Biden's support has waned considerably from 2020. He's not going to hit that 2.8M mark again.