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Images leak of Valve's next game, and it's an Overwatch-style hero shooter
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Never, at this point half life 3 failing would do more damage to the steam sales platform than half life 3 succeeding could make in a million years
It might make Valve unlikely to make another game and a lot of people, including myself, would be hugely disappointed but I don't think it would have any major negative effects beyond those two.
I don't see how that would damage anything though? It's not like people would stop using steam if hl3 is bad. That's ridiculous.
You also can't MTX a Half Life 3 game to hell and back. Years ago, I knew the next Half Life game would be VR. They've always used the Half Life games to showcase new tech or models(the Episodes). Didn't realize it would be VR Exclusive or a prequel.
At least the community has given up and is producing their own sequels and spinoffs.