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this post was submitted on 21 May 2024
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I dunno. The collapse of the US is sort of, interesting, right. I think there are a lot more people reaping the gains of imperial america than you might think. I mean, that's basically all of what american industry is at this point, and maybe all it ever has been. If you think about like, first industrial revolutions, those came about not contrary to, but in combination with slavery. You can't much have a loom without cotton being picked somewhere, and you can't much have a grainery or industrialized mill without someone out working in the wheat fields, you know? And then you have the sort of colonial period in which that slavery was outsourced, and then you have a post WW2 period of rapid military expansionism and then now you have an interconnected global system in which larger colonial states rely on what are basically smaller states where everyone inside of them is a slave. Not only larger colonial states in the west, but states abroad which benefit from both US and domestic military imperialism. Nobody's talking about what's happening in the congo right now, but all those lithium batteries, that are used basically everywhere, they all have a set of common origin points.
I find it distressing that, you know, it can be within everyone's mutual interest, internal to a democracy, even a real democracy, it can be in their internal mutual interest to be extremely xenophobic and exploitative of another culture or nation, especially if they can do so at arm's length.
So I dunno, I think with the collapse of that global hegemony, I would like to think that it's only a more minor kind of thing, right, but at the same time, I think maybe it's not, and maybe the common narrative about BRICS being the big grand replacement on the world stage, and hopefully, being the better replacement, I dunno if that's gonna come to pass, and I dunno if they're really gonna be better so much as they might just be different. I might be wrong, you know, but china flirts with a danger, when they open up to a larger market and populate the higher parts of their government with billionaires, when they decide to fuse a presumably socialist project with a neoliberal economic system that inherently concentrates power.
I mean and that's all considering the idea that the elites don't just wanna fucking burn everything down at the point at which they figure out that it's not really tenable any longer, or like, just want to burn it all down for another fifteen minutes of power, which might very well be the case.
The efficiency point is something I find kind of interesting because. Say you have a short-term efficiency, right, you get much larger gains in the short term, much more rapidly. In a competitive field, you will be able to crush your competitors more easily, if you can grow faster in the short term of this time frame. This applies to the free market, but also applies to nations at the broadest level. You can't really reliably create a strategy that has long term efficiency and stability, because the short term strategies still win in the short term, and a "win" is quantified as the extinction of competition. So, I dunno, I don't have a solution to that problem. Might be like, we're just fucked longer than long term, just, fucked in the sense that human psychology is fucked, I dunno. I also don't really like the idea that the only "winning" is basically that, after some short term power becomes the dominant force, exterminates all competition, then they can start leaning into long term efficiency strategies. It's not as though it's like, a static process, right, where you only have to win once to keep going, you have to keep winning against all possible and future competition. There are also obviously problems with a structure that wins it's battles along the short-term and then becomes a sort of monopolized power, right, because it's by nature brittle and resistant to that change into a long-term strategy. And then I also just don't know if the cost of "winning" in that context, maybe that does enough damage by itself that you're just fucked. Holocene extinction style.
Maybe there's something I'm missing there, or like, I'm thinking in too absolutist and grandiose of terms in a place where the context really actually matters much more, I dunno. Probably that's the case, if I had to guess.