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Are We in an AI Bubble?
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this post was submitted on 02 Jun 2024
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Well yeah, a company making the hardware that these AI companies utilize will probably be just fine, especially an entrenched one like Nvidia. Once the AI fad subsides, they might see a drop in revenue, but considering Nvidia makes more than AI processors, especially their graphics division (aka diversified), they won't have too much issue pivoting to what's next.
It's kind of like the gold rush in the 1800s: the people who made bank and struck it rich weren't necessarily the guys doing the mining, it was the ones supplying the miners with tools, clothes, supplies, etc.
Nvidia is probably making a huge sigh of relief right now. When the Crypto-Currency scam popped, they were looking at a huge inventory of graphics cards being dumped on the market. They lucked out that self-driving cars were the new shiny that kept their business growing. Now it's AI. The AI hype-cycle is crashing fast though.
Recently Dell's stock slipped 16%. Not because they were losing sales, not because their revenue was declining, but because analysts said their margins on AI computers weren't big enough.
So there seems to be some patience wearing thin in the AI rush that includes the shovel makers.