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US in a hypersonic hustle to catch China, Russia
(asiatimes.com)
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this post was submitted on 09 Jun 2024
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My prediction:
The US has another predator drone situation. They achieve hypersonic missile tech within 10 years, probably within 5, but it's barely capable of doing what it says on the tin and it's extremely expensive, likely with a whole lot of inherent flaws and points of failure.
It's used mostly to wow aging generals and to provide an aura of military superiority, or at least a semblance of parity, but it's mostly for show and they are going to get little if any usage in combat settings. It gets touted as the game-changer and it's promised to put China and Russia on the backfoot, that nobody will dare challenge US superiority in the future and that this will secure the US military legacy for the future.
Behind the scenes, they never completely shutter development of hypersonic missiles, in order to keep up appearances, but they run it on a skeleton staff and chronically underfund it. The US falls critically behind in cutting edge military tech and it refocuses on countermeasures for rival hypersonic missiles.
very likely