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this post was submitted on 03 Jun 2024
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Windows 11 market share has been going down, while Linux market share has been going up by a few percent. I doubt that people are going back to an older OS. But even if that's the case: These Windows 10 users will eventually have to find some other OS, as Win 10 won't get security updates after 2025. Sure, not all of them will switch to Linux, but I'm sure that a notable portion of them will.
I wish I shared your optimism. Most likely most regular users won't care about not getting security updates, some of the ones that do will switch to Linux, but the majority (of the minority of people that care about getting security updates) will probably switch to win11, macOS, or ChromeOS (which might as well not be based on the Linux kernel seeing as it's so locked down).