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Scientifically proven by Dr. Lamar Davis
(lemmy.world)
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Logo uses joystick by liftarn
This constantly came up in WoW, from the opposite direction.
A 2% drop rate doesn't mean a 100% chance 2% of the time, it means a 2% chance 100% of the time.
The human brain does a very poor job at understanding chance. A lot of games use seeded pseudo-randomness for this reason. They'll even give the player a slightly better percentage than advertised and there will still be people calling foul.