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this post was submitted on 19 Jul 2024
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politics
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I think young voters are on average less likely to vote for Trump, including that particular demographic. I believe that because younger generations are more likely (among other things) to be openly queer, and more politically engaged than people of that age used to be. I believe this because a lot of my friends online and offline are people just out of high school. Almost every young person I meet is about as or more progressive than me, with those who who are less progressive going no further than to the left of Joe Biden. Those exceptions who I've personally met can be counted on one hand, and those I interact with have given me no reason to believe that they're an exception.
If 18 to 20-somethings were tending right wards, people who are still in high school would be reporting their classmates being swept up in the pipeline as well, but we don't see that happening. For clarity, I live in a red county, on the boarder of a swing state, and in a small city surrounded by rural communities. Furthermore, I have a career where I interact with a lot of young people and hobbies that push me towards interacting with the groups you're talking about. If there was a successful strategic effort to push that demographic to the far right, I'd be in a very good position to notice first hand.
I'm 21, from a blue county in a reddish state, it seems mostly 50/50
It makes sense that some areas would be different from others, but that deviation is far wider than what I was expecting.
I'm glad to hear some first hand experience with that then! Thanks for sharing!