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this post was submitted on 20 Jul 2024
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chapotraphouse
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I'm not voting for dems, i hate all of them, and this election is bullshit. So I'm speaking strictly from a horse race perspective here, since i do not care about the process or outcome.
I totally agree Kamala won't boost down ballot at all. The down ballot is already boosted (as boosted as possible anyway) from people voting because of abortion. Kamala is awful at politics. The more she's in the spotlight, probably the less people will like her (assuming anyone likes her now). But at least she can say the word abortion. Honestly, i think thats the only thing a Democratic canidate needs to do this election to perform competitively.
Kamala is not a strong candidate, but i don't know how much it matters. Dems entire strategy is abortion and negative partisanship against Trump. Biden is fucking both parts of that up by not being able to say, let alone speak about abortion, and by obviously being mentally unfit to an extent they can't hide. Almost anyone but Hilary could replace him and be competitive in this race.
Trump isn't the same as he was 4 years ago, let alone 8. He has a record that most people hate, and most people do not want a national abortion ban. Even as shitty of a candidate as Kamala is, i wouldn't say for sure she'd lose at this point. I think anyone but Biden (or Clinton) has a shot because of abortion.
it's abortion that'll be energizing the down ballot. Just today at work there were like 3 heavy ads about how horrible abortion rights being revoked during the hour and a half of news that was playing. They were very clearly new ads since they were talking about Vance now. It's nigh impossible to look at some of the stories just from the ads that were playing and ignore just how awful things are unless you're already just so deeply into the sauce that you'll never be convinced otherwise.