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this post was submitted on 21 Jul 2024
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No one is excited to go to war. Telling your population that you are going to send their family members to their deaths is political suicide. No one is roaring to send themselves, their father, husband, brother, or sister to get shot and killed; even if it’s for a righteous cause.
It’s why offensive wars rarely work. The populace just gives up. While defensive wars are extremely easy to politically justify.
Lebanon is much more evenly matched with Israel, and might even succeed in a war. However, not without a heavy cost to civilian lives lost, military casualties, their economy, industry, tourism, and so on. It’ll be a lot harder for Hezbollah to justify why they got involved when Israeli cruise missiles rain down on Beirut; even if they are winning the war. Especially when they could instead continue their current course of action of preparing for conflict and stalling.
They're constantly getting bombed by Zionists. Massacres are a regular thing with the entity as a neighbor.
Fuck, they were occupied by them.
When do you draw the line? Yemen literally had no reason to go in to this conflict but they did for the sake of the Palestinians.
If you can't even protect your own people who have been killed by the entity, then what are you actually good for?
That’s the sad reality. Red lines keep getting pushed because confronting the reality of the situation is to painful of a bandage to rip off.
The cost of turning a blind eye to Israeli attacks and the effects of the war are still more enticing then the political disaster that declaring war would bring. Essentially it’s a sacrifice that Hezbollah are willing to make.
But at the same time, can you really fault them? A war would bring tens of thousand of dead at the minimum, along with untold damage to the civilian population. Even if Lebanon wins a brilliant victory against Israel and turns into a world hero, the long term ramifications would be disastrous and leave Lebanon in a weakened position for years of not decades.
The cost of war for a nation the size of Lebanon is often disastrous. They are not like Russia or the US who can afford to take the ramifications in step.