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this post was submitted on 03 Aug 2023
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politics
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A SAMPLE SIZE OF 1279*!! Get this bullshit out of here
And only 1047 even responded. No shit the crazy ones replied..
A sample of that size is enough to give you a confidence level of about 95% with 3% margin of error, when looking at a population of about 350,000,000
https://www.qualtrics.com/uk/experience-management/research/determine-sample-size/?rid=ip&prevsite=en&newsite=uk&geo=UA&geomatch=uk
Welcome to basic statistics.
Lies, damned lies, and statistics
Then you missed the point. Statistics are real, but also present the most insidious way to lie also.
Cool man glad your smart.
How many people do you think would be needed?
It's less than you imagine. As long as the sampling is random and unbiased, assuming 100 million Republicans, a sample size of 1000 should be enough for a 3% margin of error with a 95% confidence level.
No way man. The average citizen in this country isn't registered with these types of polls. These are from the same group that write letters to news channels. I think the selection pool was already biased, and this represents an extremely small portion of the population.
They sent them out randomly. The flaw with this poll is same flaw with any polling. Personally anything I receive in the mail that isn't a bill or a birthday card doesn't even get opened. It would be nice if they explained more about the sample they collected. Average age, location, gender, political party.
I posted this above but meant it to bolster your point here. Lies, damned lies, and statistics
Even if the ones who didn't reply had replied, and they expressed confidence in the 2020 election results, it's still a pretty bad look for the GOP.