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this post was submitted on 30 Jul 2024
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People who think you can solve the housing crisis without removing or greatly diminishing landlords, house flipping, investors, and people profiting off of a necessary and inherently limited necessity, do not understand economics.
I got a coworker who started flipping houses. Went all in and just finished posting her third house for sale. They got a second(third?) job to can pay the mortgages/loans until they sell. It's been 4 months and they've dropped the price to be competitive. I think they’re gonna lose money after all this is said and done. Which couldn't happen to a more deserving person. They're the reason bosses are cracking down on us for every single thing. They aren't sleeping and keep fucking up. Fuck these leaches
Yeah if you're going to flip houses you shouldn't be buying liveable units to upscale, you should be buying nearly derelict buildings nobody would want and fixing them up to be comfortably inhabitable. Your highest cost shouldn't be the mortgage
Quite frankly, you shouldn't be doing that either.
If someone wants a building a certain way, they can pay to make it that way. If you pay to make it that way and then sell it to them at a profit, you are not really providing them with anything, you're just taking a profit and giving them a not-quite-right renovation they now have to deal with.
In the grand scheme of the system, it would be far better if your profit ended up going to other people who could instead use it to pay for a better renovation that they actually want.
Not true at all.
You're providing the service of doing all that installation and restoration. You should be compensated for your efforts. You can do that work a lot more efficiently when you're not beholden to a specific client's needs or wants, you just want to get another affordable home onto the market.
We have a severe lack of homes that are affordable for people who work most of the time and don't have the time or the savings to restore a home themselves, but might have the savings to make a down payment on a completed restored home. Not everyone has the same means, and we should be using our side hustle to help the world we live in, not hurt it.
Providing a shittier product that fits a clients' needs worse so that you can profit is not efficiency.
Again, no. You are not helping anyone when you invest in the housing market and try and make a profit off a limited commodity. All you are doing is driving up the prices with your profit seeking and making it harder for people to afford a down payment.
You're not investing in the housing market by buying bottom-of-the-barrel, derelict homes that no investor or resident would ever buy. Those buildings have fallen out of what could be considered housing, and you're restoring them to use.
This is the same argument as saying nobody should buy old broken watches to restore, for example.
Also, driving up the prices??? You're ADDING to the supply curve without touching the demand curve at all. Any theory of economics shows that prices will decrease when you do that. You have zero idea what you're talking about
No house flipper is buying bottom of the barrel derelict homes that no one would ever want because those are hard to flip.
If you're truly saving a property that's literally sitting abandoned and unused and falling apart without you being there and restoring it, then yes, you are providing a service. If you're instead just buying a fixer upper that literally any starting couple might want, then no, you're not.
i.e. house flippers do not increase supply because by and large they do not buy out-of-market assets and restore them to in-market assets, they buy low in the market assets and try and flip them as cheaply as possible into slightly higher in the market assets.
I think the key is that unless you're already a general contractor, you're a speculator. There exists people fixing shitholes to be livable, but those guys margins come from the fact that they already are in the remodeling business and can fix it for cheaper. I've worked with both types in building supply.
Yes, if you have some process efficiency, like you're a GC who knows exactly how to fix it up as nicely and efficiently as possible because you already have a crew of workers in the area or something then you might actually be providing a service.
But even in that case you might not be if you do a shitty job renovating and drive up the price more than the value you provide. If you say, cover up structural or water damage but make the house look nice and new, you may still be doing a net disservice to society by making someone else both pay more for the house and then pay even more to fix your mistakes later, then if they had been able to buy it cheaply and fix it up themselves.
Plus there's always the added cost that if a GC designs something a certain way, the eventual homeowner may still want it a different way, which then still doubles the overall cost when you have to redo a decent renovation.
It's why the overall effect of house flipping is generally to drive up home prices unnecessarily when you examine it at a systemic level.
So we agree then
I think we disagree in that I know of virtually zero house flippers who engage in the practice you describe of buying out of market houses.
Every single house flipper I know buys a house that some young starting couple would be happy to buy and renovate themselves. Though that maybe a difference of markets given that where I'm at there are basically no out of market houses because every property is too expensive too abandon like that.