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The risk isn't another Jan-6. The risk is from his cronies positioned as election officials in the coming election.
Imagine a few counties in various states that refuse to certify the vote counts because of supposed irregularities. Imagine the miriad lawsuits that will be files by Trump's sycophants on Nov. 3rd. They will tie up the elections in as many states as they can with the goal of having SCOTUS step in and declare Trump the winner.
The chaos and violence this time will not be in DC. It'll be everywhere else.
This - well, it’s probably both, but the “legal vote stealers” will be gunning for anyone they can get away with steamrolling. Crooked judges or weak Democratic responses will mean we lose legitimate vote counts to theft.
That will be very bad, for all the reasons, and again - that is their plan.