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this post was submitted on 24 Aug 2024
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That’s true but it’s not because people aren’t playing single player games. The reason single player games are less profitable is because the non-subscription, non-microtransaction single player market is extremely saturated with indie games. That makes it very hard to sell AAA single player games. The standards are extremely high and the opportunities for extra monetization are not there.
I have been a single player gamer for most of my life, yet I haven’t bought a AAA single player game in decades. I have more indie single player games to play than I know what to do with, and frankly they appeal to me more than AAA titles. Expensive graphics and voice acting don’t have much draw for me these days. I am much more interested in roguelikes and retro games now. I think there are thousands of others like me out there, among all those who don’t go in for multiplayer games and haven’t purchased a console.
Both of your points are only partially correct.
Wrong, they just take less effort and have a more constant revenue stream.
Potential for profit means nothing, when so many attempts at milkable forever games end up like Suicide Squad or Concord.
Also you can come into them half baked and pull the plug if the game doesn't sell (because it's half baked) like they're doing with SS and they did with the Avengers game.
They don't, you can't spend money you don't have, whales are working adults.
Kids spend money for less. Better ROI, not higher payoff.
You make the 18302nd skin and troves of kids will badger their parents for fortnite bucks so they can buy it but not everyone will. The upside is that making a skin costs you single digits percent points of the profits, so even if one or two are a dud, you're fine, the good ones will make up for it.
It's a business model you can throw money at once the game's got an audience base, which is very attractive to companies, because it's uncomplicated and reliable.
There's plenty of room to monetize single player games when it's add-in content to games that you continually replay as opposed to add-on content for something that's story driven. More systemic games like Civilization, roguelikes, simulators, etc.
When your game isn't live service multiplayer, your incentives change to putting out more sequels rather than iterating on the same game. So your revenue per game goes down, but there's no reason it can't necessarily be as lucrative overall.
It's not confusion. Your perspective is survivorship bias. For every Rocket League, there are 10 Concords. That's why the entire industry is imploding right now. Everyone thinks their game will be Fortnite, but only so many games can be Fortnite, and a lot of that even comes down to luck, so you've got games like Avengers and Suicide Squad losing hundreds of millions of dollars each instead of making games for half or a quarter of their budgets that would have recouped their costs and then some.
Well then I guess your recommendation would be to keep trying to be Rocket League, even though statistically you're going to leave a crater in the ground formed by hundreds of millions of dollars and the better part of a decade of work? Keep in mind there are single player games that make more money than Rocket League too, if we're going to cherry pick.
Given the unfathomable number of layoffs we've seen the past two years, I think that's a difficult argument to make.