I have no idea what you are talking about. I don't normally do this but lets look at what you wrote in parts.

There’s hardly any application that’s more than a gimmick.

This tech has already irreversibly changed coding, graphic design, marketing, writing, education,....

ChatGPT is an incompetent liar

Its not. Its pretty competent for a technology launched less than 2 years ago. Its the most competent piece of tech by far. (Launched less than 2 years ago) Its not a liar, its hallucinating, which is a big topic of development of this new technology.

Sora and all the image/video generators produce mediocre crap the can’t reasonably controlled

Sora is not even publicly released yet, so I don't think its fair to criticize. Image generators have already revolutionized graphic design, marketing, art, ...

This tech is done.

This tech has barely started.

Why do you think there’s no progress from openai?

There are so many news about AI advancement weakly that I have no idea what you are talking about.

The tech hit a ceiling. LLMs scaled to their current state very quickly, but each increment used exponentially more compute. There’s not enough compute, not enough training data to get better.

Says who? A few influencers? You think companies would be investing hundreds of billions if there is nothing there? Its not only about throwing things in a pot and stirring, there are different ways of organizing the training data. There is synthetic data. There is so much data in the world we will never be out of it.

I’m pretty sure, you don’t understand how models work.

You would be wrong, as I work in AI research. To be frank I don't work as an llm researcher, but Im close enough to have picked up a few things.

None of them changed the world in any meaningful way - just scams.

AI already changed the world.

AI companies very fundamentally don’t make money, and have no way to become profitable in the near future. None of their tech has any business model. OpenAI relies 100% on Microsoft essentially donating azure instances.

First thing you said that's actually correct, but I don't know how that matters to your point.

Sure, AI has its applications, but not hundreds of billions worth of applications.

So it does have applications? I thought it was all scams, lies and mediocre crap,....