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this post was submitted on 28 Aug 2024
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China is worried that the shit weapons they have will be basically useless against Taiwan if they try to invade and we supply Taiwan with western weapons. They want to be able to take over Taiwan in a day or two, but that wouldn't be possible if we supplied them with Western arms.
No, Xi is a brilliant mind at domestic party politics, but at geopolitics he's an imbecile.
He didn't understand that his navy was 10-15 years away from hoping to take Taiwan in 2022, and that was assuming the USN took a long vacation without checking their email.
His hope was that after Afghanistan, if Russia took Ukraine quickly the west would cower in fear and go full appeasement, basically giving Taiwan on a platter.
He might have been right if Big Daddy Z hadn't refused that ride.