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this post was submitted on 20 Sep 2024
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I wonder if a birth rate that stays low for a while might be what it takes to avoid future wars? Just in general, across all nations? Funny that the very things that have damaged society's faith in the future might end up mitigating conflicts in the future.
When manpower can no longer be replenished, then wasting it trying to pull off landgrabs can only be sustained for so long. Not just physically, but politically.
I don't think anyone with half a brain is earnestly concerned about lower birthrates. Humanity isn't going to disappear off the face of the planet just because birthrates dipped for a bit. These things have a tendency to correct themselves and people aren't going to stop having sex.
Sure, in the long run humanity will adapt and survive, but we will definitely have problems to address in the near-ish term like the next 100 years or so. the main problem will be an inverted age structure; there will be fewer people paying taxes, and fewer people around to take care of the older generations when they are elderly. Many developed nations are experiencing this and worried about it.
and ‘sex’ isn’t the issue; with modern education, contraception, etc you have to convince families to want to have kids. It doesn't seem to be any one particular thing holding people back either, so it's not as simple as subsidizing childcare or making families more financially secure. Countries in europe give lots of financial assistance to raise kids, but their birth rates are still much lower than replacement levels.