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this post was submitted on 25 Sep 2024
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Russia can't win. I don't mean I don't want it to happen, despite that being true. I mean there is no winning condition for Russia or Putin to end this conflict. Even if they were to occupy Kiev, they should really remember what happened when they attempted to occupy Afghanistan, because the exact same thing will happen. We didn't even have to supply bombs and missiles, just some shoulder mounted surface to air shit, and the Russian occupation was completely halted. The Ukrainians aren't going to give up, even if Russia declared victory.
What's worse is that I'm not certain if we have passed the point where Russia literally cannot make enough people for this war to not cripple their economy and political power for the next century or so, but they've lost so many young men that if we haven't passed that point yet, we will by the end of the year.