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this post was submitted on 29 Sep 2024
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The impression I've always gotten (and I'm sure no political guru or social scientist or anything of the sort) isn't so much that the country overall prefers the Taliban as much as most of them just don't really give a rat's ass about the country as a whole or who's claiming to be in charge of it at any given time, they don't have a strong sense of national identity, they care for more about their tribe or village than anything going on outside of it. American, Russian, Taliban, doesn't really matter too much to them, when the guys with better guns roll into town, you pay them lip service until they go away then continue right on doing things more or less the same way you have for the last 2000 years.
It does happen that the Taliban probably aligns with their traditional values more closely than the other people who have tried ruling it as a unified country over the years, but day-to-day, they're still probably mostly only going to the Taliban when they need something from them and deferring to village elders or local warlords or whoever for everything else.
There's variation I'm sure, those in cities probably have a stronger sense of what a country is and what it has to offer in the modern world than those in rural areas, but it's a largely rural country, almost 75% of them are living in rural areas and some of them are super rural where some of them have probably never even seen a city.
If we had installed a tribal council with a few elected positions to counterbalance it; not let the DEA burn cash crops, (buy it and give it to the pharma companies); and installed basic corruption controls, (including among our own reporting lines); the Taliban would never have been allowed back into the country. They were the best alternative in 1991 and remain so in the people's eyes. They have been ripped apart by fighting since the late 1970's, they're tired and want the peace more than they want rights. They would have taken both if we had been even halfway competent and not hellbent on creating USA II: The Middle Eastening.