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this post was submitted on 14 Oct 2024
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This is why. In the unlikely event that all 19% end up swinging to pro, we're talking about almost 70% support for it. That not only included moderate Republicans that potentially can be won over, but some conservative Dems that we can't afford to lose.
The 58% is meant to represent "likely voters" but the problem is that if there are enough single issue folks, we may see unlikely voters vote on the issue beyond the lone poll's expectations.
Normally we want to get the vote out, but adopting an explicit anti-fracking stance could energize folks to vote GOP who otherwise would never vote Dem and would stay at home.
There is some hope here though:
So be pro-fracking but also pro-disclosure, pro-monitoring, and pro-setbacks.