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this post was submitted on 31 Oct 2024
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Here’s a harsh reminder that Trump is farther ahead in the polls than he was with Hillary at this same point in the election. The polls showed a landslide win for Hillary by this point, but that obviously didn’t happen. Now the polls show a much closer race for Kamala, which means (if the same thing happens again) then Trump has a very real shot at winning again.
Though to be fair, it looks like Kamala has learned from Hillary, and avoided the “we’ve got this, no problem, don’t even worry about it” attitude that Hillary had early on in the race. Hillary wanted to exude an air of confidence early on, like she had been working towards the presidential race for decades. That ended up being her downfall, because it meant a lot of democrats just fucking stayed home. Because if the person is saying not to worry about it, why do I need to bother voting? The issue is that when every person told themselves that same thing, it meant Hillary lost a lot of votes due to apathy. If you go back and look at her campaign, there was a very drastic shift in Hillary’s messaging a month or two before Election Day, when her team realized that democrat voters had become apathetic. It suddenly shifted from “we’ve got this” to “oh holy fuck please fucking please vote”
(X) Three things:
don't fucking trust polls. They're beyond biased at this point.
remember the daily death announcements during COVID? Remember how they got broken down demographically? Because the reds didn't trust the vaccine, by the 3rd wave, R's were losing voters at almost a rate of 3:1. And during that same time people were coming of age. Younger people tend to lean left. I can't find the figures, so, grain of salt, but i recall it being at around 8000 or so a day. So, Maga is losing voters while Dems are gaining voters. Daily. Over an extended period of time...
just look at the rallies. If the race was as close as the polls claim, you'd have similar numbers of attendees for either candidate. But, we're not seeing that, are we? Kamala is bringing in 75000. I heard the ellipses rally had 100k. What's Trump getting? 7000? 9000? These numbers just don't gel.
Now, I'm not saying this is locked down. Far from it. Go and fucking vote. It needs to be an absolute landslide, and we know maga will still bitch. But don't trust the billionaire-owned corporate media, which has shown, time and time again, who their favorite is.