[-] CrimeDad@lemmy.crimedad.work 13 points 1 day ago

The mutually assured destruction we need in the world.

[-] CrimeDad@lemmy.crimedad.work 1 points 3 days ago

Thank you for sharing these links. I was a proponent of IRV, but it's clear to me now that it doesn't offer a significant improvement over FPTP. Quinn's 3-2-1 scoring method is a lot more attractive to me now.

17

I like the idea that it might become regular maintenance to get our brains unclogged.

[-] CrimeDad@lemmy.crimedad.work 26 points 3 days ago

Public library.

[-] CrimeDad@lemmy.crimedad.work 7 points 3 days ago

I just found this article that I think explains what happened. In a previous RCV election, the Republicans got 60% of the first round vote, but still lost. That was because it was split between more than one Republican as a result of their unusual primary election system that sends the top four candidates to the general election. Basically, they spoiled the election for themselves. The tight result of this referendum is probably more of an indictment of Alaska's top four primary system than RCV.

[-] CrimeDad@lemmy.crimedad.work 2 points 4 days ago

I don't think that makes sense. In both RCV and FPTP, if a candidate gets over 50% in the first round then they're the winner. In FPTP if no candidate gets over 50% then there's usually a runoff. I believe that's why rank choice voting is also known as instant runoff voting.

[-] CrimeDad@lemmy.crimedad.work 8 points 4 days ago

Why such a close margin? What don't Alaskans like about RCV?

1
submitted 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) by CrimeDad@lemmy.crimedad.work to c/technology@lemmy.world

Per- and polyfluorinated alkyl substances (PFAS) have been found to contaminate the global environment and have been implicated in a wide range of health problems. But the tough carbon-fluorine bonds in the compounds resist being torn apart, leading to expensive remediation schemes that rely on powerful chemicals and high temperatures and pressures. Today, two groups report in Nature the discovery of catalysts that could offer a cheaper way to clean up the chemicals. When energized by light, the catalysts break down a wide range of PFAS compounds at low temperatures and ambient pressures.

[-] CrimeDad@lemmy.crimedad.work 70 points 6 days ago

Seems like a simple task to help verify that you are not a bot. It might also help deter applicants who are anti-communist. I guess you solved the problem for yourself by choosing a different instance.

1
submitted 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago) by CrimeDad@lemmy.crimedad.work to c/nostupidquestions@lemmy.world

It would be nice to just be automatically vaccinated for everything just by hanging out.

16
Walking Lichen! (pixelfed.crimedad.work)

cross-posted from: https://lemmy.crimedad.work/post/152929

Here are the other two photos from the series on Pixelfed: image image

cross-posted from: https://pixelfed.crimedad.work/p/crimedad/763216516514804651

Walking Lichen!

I was grilling some steak on my deck when I noticed this camouflaged lacewing larva. Check out this site for better photos and cool facts about it: http://jimmccormac.blogspot.com/2014/10/a-murderous-mobile-lichen.html?m=1

#LichenSubscribe #Mosstodon #Macro #MacroPhotography #bugs #camouflage

@crosspost@lemmy.crimedad.work

1
Walking Lichen! [OC] (pixelfed.crimedad.work)

cross-posted from: https://lemmy.crimedad.work/post/152929

Here are the other two photos from the series on Pixelfed: image image

cross-posted from: https://pixelfed.crimedad.work/p/crimedad/763216516514804651

Walking Lichen!

I was grilling some steak on my deck when I noticed this camouflaged lacewing larva. Check out this site for better photos and cool facts about it: http://jimmccormac.blogspot.com/2014/10/a-murderous-mobile-lichen.html?m=1

#LichenSubscribe #Mosstodon #Macro #MacroPhotography #bugs #camouflage

@crosspost@lemmy.crimedad.work

37

My wife asked for a nice mahjong set for Christmas. What sort of features should I look for in a nice set? Where should or shouldn't I shop for one?

3

With the dust is settling from their defeat on Tuesday, it's becoming clearer that there was some incredible malpractice going on in the Democratic party. As shown in the tweet I linked, Biden delayed dropping out even though his team knew it was going to be a complete blowout for Trump. Then, we have Harris's campaign spending over a billion dollars and still losing all of the swing states she needed to win.

For all the Democrats who would never vote Republican and would have never voted third party, are you now considering voting third party in future elections? If not, what would it take?

8

Not completely sure I'm doing it right, but a 2:1 safe state for swing state swap seems like a bad deal. Here's my reasoning:

  • In New Jersey, as an example of a safe state for Harris, Fivethirtyeight has Harris winning in 993 out of 1000 simulated elections. Assuming the same turnout as 2020 of 4,549,457 votes, there's a 0.500546 chance, on average, that a NJ voter will vote for Harris. I figured that out using the BINOM.DIST.RANGE function and the Goal Seek tool in Excel.
  • In Michigan, with a turnout of 5,539,302 voters in 2020, Harris wins in only 605 out of 1000 simulations. Using the same tools above, if you randomly picked any Michigan voter, there's a 0.500059 chance that he or she is voting for Harris.
  • Using the BINOMDIST function with the assumed turnouts and the chances we determined that voters in each of the above states would go for Harris, there's a 3.25986e-4 chance that Michigan is decided by a single vote. Likewise, there's a 2.47681e-5 chance for the same in NJ. Based on the probability that it could shift electoral college votes, a Michigan ballot is distinctly more powerful than an NJ one.
  • If you could could reliably convince one more person to vote like you in NJ, your chances of affecting the NJ outcome only increase to 2.48222e-5.
  • For an NJ voter to match their chances of affecting the Michigan outcome, they would have to command about 1,925 votes besides their own. In other words, there's an almost equal chance of a single vote Harris victory in MI as a 1,926 vote victory in NJ.
  • Therefore, if a Michigan voter values their power, they should not trade their vote for anything less than 1,926 New Jersey votes. The rate should actually be greater to account for welching and Michigan having one more electoral vote than NJ.

Am I missing something?

cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ml/post/22156613

cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ml/post/22156612

Matt Sledge
November 4 2024, 1:56 p.m.#

40

I do not have much sympathy for guys like this one, but I doubt that he would have gotten as far along in this plot without the FBI's undercover help.

18

cross-posted from: https://lemmy.crimedad.work/post/149349

Here's a link to the paper referenced by the article. Not sure why it wasn't included with the article. Anyway, this chart stood out to me: image

Don't believe or respect anyone who says the White House is working on a ceasefire deal. This administration has clearly been working on just the opposite.

cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ml/post/22130019

A report by Brown University’s Watson Institute reveals that since the beginning of the war, the US has spent more than $22 billion on military aid to Israel - from weapons and equipment to the deployment of aircraft carriers. Israel receives more U.S. military aid than any other country and is uniquely able to use that funding to spend on domestic goods.

The total amount of American aid since the start of the war is about NIS 85 billion ($22 billion) based on an average exchange rate by the Bank of Israel over the past year. Most has been delivered but about $5.2 billion will only arrive next year. According to official estimates from the Bank of Israel, the total cost of the war is estimated to be about NIS 250 billion ($65 billion), including around NIS 118 billion ($31 billion) for military costs including army operational costs, replenishment of military equipment, ammunition, and logistical support. Therefore, by a simple calculation, the U.S. has been funding about 70% of the war effort.

26

Here's a link to the paper referenced by the article. Not sure why it wasn't included with the article. Anyway, this chart stood out to me: image

Don't believe or respect anyone who says the White House is working on a ceasefire deal. This administration has clearly been working on just the opposite.

cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ml/post/22130019

A report by Brown University’s Watson Institute reveals that since the beginning of the war, the US has spent more than $22 billion on military aid to Israel - from weapons and equipment to the deployment of aircraft carriers. Israel receives more U.S. military aid than any other country and is uniquely able to use that funding to spend on domestic goods.

The total amount of American aid since the start of the war is about NIS 85 billion ($22 billion) based on an average exchange rate by the Bank of Israel over the past year. Most has been delivered but about $5.2 billion will only arrive next year. According to official estimates from the Bank of Israel, the total cost of the war is estimated to be about NIS 250 billion ($65 billion), including around NIS 118 billion ($31 billion) for military costs including army operational costs, replenishment of military equipment, ammunition, and logistical support. Therefore, by a simple calculation, the U.S. has been funding about 70% of the war effort.

63

It's crazy how popular those twelve foot boners are.

[-] CrimeDad@lemmy.crimedad.work 77 points 2 months ago

I don't think I've ever seen that symbol in a username anywhere.

Maybe you can just ask them?

[-] CrimeDad@lemmy.crimedad.work 157 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago)

Barak Obama was named the 2009 Nobel Peace Prize laureate nine months after his inauguration. Subsequently, he used a drone to murder an American citizen, among a litany of other atrocities.

[-] CrimeDad@lemmy.crimedad.work 98 points 1 year ago

Lol, that's a big-brained take from Wired that there's a Goldilocks amount of surveillance and repression that apartheid regimes should be applying for the best results.

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