That's exactly what AI would say. Hmmm...
A major bottleneck is power capacity. Is is very difficult to find 50Mwatts+ (sometime hundreds) of capacity available at any site. It has to be built out. That involves a lot of red tape, government contracts, large transformers, contractors, etc. the current backlog on new transformers at that scale is years. Even Google and Microsoft can't build, so they come to my company for infrastructure - as we already have 400MW in use and triple that already on contract. Further, Nvidia only makes so many chips a month. You can't install them faster than they make them.
It's not anytime soon. It can get like 90% of the way there but those final 10% are the real bitch.
Iirc there are mathematical reason why AI can't actually become exponentially more intelligent? There are hard limits on how much work (in the sense of information processing) can be done by a given piece of hardware and we're already pretty close to that theoretical limit. For an AI to go singulaity we would have to build it with enough initial intelligence that it could aquire both the resources and information with which to improve itself and start the exponential cycle.
Showerthoughts
A "Showerthought" is a simple term used to describe the thoughts that pop into your head while you're doing everyday things like taking a shower, driving, or just daydreaming. The most popular seem to be lighthearted clever little truths, hidden in daily life.
Here are some examples to inspire your own showerthoughts:
- Both “200” and “160” are 2 minutes in microwave math
- When you’re a kid, you don’t realize you’re also watching your mom and dad grow up.
- More dreams have been destroyed by alarm clocks than anything else
Rules
- All posts must be showerthoughts
- The entire showerthought must be in the title
- No politics
- If your topic is in a grey area, please phrase it to emphasize the fascinating aspects, not the dramatic aspects. You can do this by avoiding overly politicized terms such as "capitalism" and "communism". If you must make comparisons, you can say something is different without saying something is better/worse.
- A good place for politics is c/politicaldiscussion
- Posts must be original/unique
- Adhere to Lemmy's Code of Conduct and the TOS
If you made it this far, showerthoughts is accepting new mods. This community is generally tame so its not a lot of work, but having a few more mods would help reports get addressed a little sooner.
Whats it like to be a mod? Reports just show up as messages in your Lemmy inbox, and if a different mod has already addressed the report, the message goes away and you never worry about it.