The study was conducted using a labor simulation tool called the Iceberg Index, which was created by MIT and Oak Ridge National Laboratory.
"We built an AI and it told us how good AI is."
The study was conducted using a labor simulation tool called the Iceberg Index, which was created by MIT and Oak Ridge National Laboratory.
"We built an AI and it told us how good AI is."
Look at it this way, AI is simply exposing the deep absurdity of late capitalism. Much of the economy in the West consists of what Graeber called bullshit jobs which are roles that even people performing them struggle to justify. I'd argue these types of jobs are uniquely vulnerable to replacement by AI.
It's because these jobs produce nothing of tangible, material value. Building a bridge or diagnosing an illness requires engagement with physical and ethical reality. You are accountable to laws of physics, to human bodies, to measurable outcomes. That sort of a job is going to require a human in the loop. An AI tool can be helpful for the worker where it could help zero down on a diagnosis for example, but the final decision needs to be made by a person who can be held responsible. There is little chance that AI, in the form we have today, can replace such jobs.
But much of the modern service and knowledge economy operates in a realm of manufactured meaning. Marketing campaigns, branding, corporate compliance, and middle management layers are roles built around persuasion, perception, and bureaucratic performance. They generate what Baudrillard would call simulacra. These are outputs detached from real use-value. AI, as a sophisticated pattern matcher, thrives here precisely because the work was already semantically hollow.
So while capitalism created these roles to absorb surplus labor and sustain consumption, AI now reveals their contingency. The real contradiction here is between value and bullshit. It is between work that sustains society and work that just sustains the system.
I absolutely believe bullshit jobs are threatened by AI, I'm just skeptical about simulations being produced by pro-business private schools that have every incentive to flatter their corporate sponsors. MIT has received over two hundred million dollars of investments from IBM for AI research and is seeking an additional billion dollars to build out its AI campus. They're beneficiaries of the bubble.
They have a lot of incentives to lie, here. It sounds like they just built a simulation to tell them what they wanted to hear.
It's going to be a self fulfilling prophecy. After all, these studies are produced to convince CEOs to make certain types of business decisions. Their whole point is to convince execs to make the types of policy decisions that they outline.
That's why I wanted to highlight the absurdity of "We made an AI to tell us AI is good!" because it shows their nature: a snake eating its own ass.
Oh yeah, the whole thing is absurd of course. In my opinion, AI is just exposing the fact that capitalism is a system of engineered scarcity which forces people to do useless work in order to continue existing.
Not the person you're replying to, but I think the point is that the study is bullshit, even if the point is apt.
You'll have to elaborate. Seems to me that AI taking over a bunch of bullshit jobs amounting to replacing 12% of the workforce is quite plausible.
This is the shittiest time line.
Start with middle management please.