at this point, does anyone have a reliable idea of how many undecided voters there really are who could have an influence on the outcome of the election? or is it, at this point, for the Dems, simply about motivating non-voters to get off their asses and vote?

i just have a hard time imagining that there are very many people left who haven't already decided who they're voting for.

~15% of Republicans came out to vote in Iowa.
Half voted Trump: 7%.
Republicans make up 34.5% of total voters in Iowa.
7% of 34.5% is 2.415% of Iowans who actually voted for Trump.

This is a crushing defeat for Trump and the entire Republican party.

Brilliant

Biden is redefining his base and it's a new political party landscape. It's not Democrat (50%) vs Republican (50%), it's now sanity (85%) vs insanity (15%).

Why do people still vote for Trump?

This is the best summary I could come up with:

Doing so will allow them to campaign more on the threat Trump poses to American democracy than the virtues of Biden himself, a historically unpopular president facing doubts about his age (81 now, 86 at the end of a second term), his handling of the economy and his support for Israel in its war with Hamas.

Seventeen concern election subversion, 40 were brought over the retention of classified information, and 34 arise from hush-money payments to an adult film star who claimed an affair.

Trump also faces civil suits over his business affairs and a defamation claim arising from a rape allegation a judge called “substantially true”, and attempts to keep him off the ballot in Colorado and Maine, under the 14th amendment to the US constitution and for inciting the deadly January 6 attack on Congress.

Before voting began in Iowa, Biden’s vice-president, Kamala Harris, marked the Martin Luther King Day holiday by attacking Trump over his threat to democracy.

She followed up by emphasising Trump’s central role in the overturning last year of Roe v Wade, the supreme court decision that once guaranteed the federal right to abortion.

From the Senate, Brian Schatz, a Democrat from Hawaii, lambasted DeSantis and Haley for running campaigns in which they long fought shy of attacking Trump.

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