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submitted 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) by SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net to c/news@hexbear.net

Image is of the Te Pati Maori (Maori Party) cofounders, Rawiri Waititi and Debbie Ngarewa-Packer. They have 6 of the 123 seats in the New Zealand parliament.


Officially confirming that the Republican primaries were a gigantic waste of time for everybody involved, Trump has massively beat everybody else in Iowa, and will very obviously be the Republican candidate for 2024. Given the abysmal state of the US economy (for everybody who isn't in the top 1-10%, which is mainly what national statistics reflect when they aren't telling blatant falsehoods), it's more plausible than ever that Trump may indeed once again become President - though I personally refuse to predict one way or another due to how volatile politics and geopolitics currently are. Project 2025 is coming, folks - either as the official Republican governance program, or as what the Democrats will do in 2026 after the midterms, stating that they have no other choice and have to reach across the aisle as they are the Adults In The Room™.

In other news...

Late last year, New Zealand voted in a new and very right-wing government, composed of the center-right National Party, the libertarian ACT Party (ACT stands for the "Association of Consumers and Taxpayers", good lord), and the fascist New Zealand First party. By what I can tell, this was the well-trodden path of "Vaguely center-left party does neoliberal austerity and causes a recession and workers fucking hated it and voted in a different party out of desperation," though the flooding and cyclones did add challenges to Chris Hipkins' short reign after Jacinda Ardern resigned.

It's worth noting that Hipkins was at least fairly China-friendly, meeting up with Xi Jinping on a five-day visit in the summer. They still do the whole "We have concerns about human rights" thing, but of all the countries of the imperial core, New Zealand is - or, perhaps, was - one of the most amicable. In 2021, China was New Zealand's single largest trading partner, with a third of exports going to China (more than Australia, the US, Japan, and South Korea combined), and they receive 22% of their imports from China too, more than any other single country.

Christopher Luxon, the new Prime Minister and sentient thumb, has said that he is exploring a closer relationship with AUKUS:

Luxon said New Zealand was interested in becoming involved in AUKUS Pillar 2: a commitment between the three partners to develop and share advanced military capabilities, including artificial intelligence, electronic warfare and hypersonics.

“We’ll work our way through that over the course of next year as we understand it more and think about what the opportunities may be for us,” Luxon said. “AUKUS is a very important element in ensuring we’ve got stability and peace in the region.”

This is not to say that Hipkins wanted nothing to do with AUKUS or Western organizations aimed generally against China - in fact, pre election, "he was open to conversations about joining Pillar II of AUKUS". But the current government is pushing down on the accelerator pedal.

The left-wing Maori party, Te Pati Maori, has stated that they want New Zealand to remain non-aligned, as joining AUKUS would erode the sovereignty of the country:

As Maori we cannot allow our sovereignty to be determined by others, whether they are in Canberra or Washington. Aotearoa should not act as Pacific spy base in the wars of imperial powers. Joining AUKUS will severely undermine our country’s sovereignty, constitution, and ability to remain nuclear free. There is too much at stake for our government to make a commitment of this magnitude without a democratic process.

In general, the party leaders of Te Pati Maori want New Zealand to be the "Switzerland of the Pacific", which is perhaps not the greatest analogy given all the problems Switzerland had and has, but we understand the intended meaning of desiring neutrality.


The Country of the Week is New Zealand! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] TheGamingLuddite@hexbear.net 44 points 10 months ago

The IDF behave exactly like the grunts from Half Life 1

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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 44 points 10 months ago

Syria Says Jordanian Airstrikes 'Unjustified'

Last month, Jordanian forces bombed an area of Al-Suwayda, leaving a dozen dead, including women and children.

On Tuesday, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Syria condemned the "unjustified" airstrikes by Jordan on its territory that left at least ten people dead in the Al-Suwayda province.

"Syria expresses its deep regret for the airstrikes carried out by the Jordanian Air Force against several villages and areas within Syrian territory," said the Foreign Affairs Ministry.

Previously, on Dec. 18, 2023, Jordanian forces bombed an area of Al-Suwayda, leaving a dozen dead, including women and children, according to data from the activist network AlSuwayda24 and the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights.

This is the first time that Syrian authorities have publicly commented on Jordanian bombing campaigns on their territory, operations that Jordan usually does not acknowledge authorship of and are aimed at combating drug trafficking.

"There is no justification for such military operations," Syrian diplomacy said, asserting that its country is is avoiding causing "tensions or affecting the ongoing restoration of the fraternal relationship between the two countries."

Since the outbreak of the war in 2011, Syria "has suffered the influx of tens of thousands of terrorists and the passage of huge amounts of weapons from neighboring countries, including Jordan," the Foreign Affairs Ministry recalled.

Jordan is a significant destination and transit point for a type of amphetamine called "captagon," which is produced in large quantities in Syria.

In mid-2023, Syria and Jordan inaugurated a joint committee for cooperation in the fight against drug trafficking after Syria was readmitted to the Arab League with the commitment to redouble efforts to tackle drug smuggling.

[-] dinklesplein@hexbear.net 44 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

BTW one thing for COTW, New Zealand this week - one of the big controversies with the old Labour coalition was the pushing of co-governance. Basically Labour expanded the power sharing agreements between the 'Crown' (The State) and the iwi (Maori Tribes), giving them more autonomy and decision making in areas like conservation, waterways etc. If you want to know more about it, you can read up here: Exploring Co-Governance

This ended up being quite unpopular, and there was a lot of concern trolling about 'democracy', and 'being decisive', from the right opposition. There were several other reasons why the Labour coalition was on its way out electorally, and pinning it solely on co-governance would be wrong, but of the populace that had an opinion on it, 26% were in favour, 31% against.^1^and it was a bit of a mask off moment. Anyway, part of the pushback the new National coalition is doing on Treaty issues/Iwi relations can in part be attributed to this pushback to co-governance expansion.

^1^ bonus TERFism in the polls XD

@Kereru@hexbear.net is afaik the only other active hexbear from here so they can correct me if I'm getting anything egregiously wrong. I'm less informed on local issues than I admittedly should be.

[-] Zrc@hexbear.net 44 points 10 months ago

come on texas, do the funny

[-] take_five_seconds@hexbear.net 43 points 10 months ago

someone @ me when civil war starts

[-] Eldungeon2@hexbear.net 43 points 10 months ago
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[-] StalinistApologist@hexbear.net 43 points 10 months ago
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[-] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 43 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

Looking at the Suppression of Enemy Air Defenses (SEAD) capabilities for various air forces, and holy crap Europe is in a vulnerable position. The only aircraft in the air forces of European countries that can do SEAD and general electronic warfare(EW) at the same time is the Tornado ECR. Some countries have fighter jets like the F-16 equipped with anti radiation missiles for SEAD, but no electronic warfare capabilities. And their electronic warfare platforms are based off of passenger or cargo aircraft. So only Germany and Italy have a plane with proper SEAD and EW capabilities simultaneously in the Tornado ECR. Germany has 35 of these, and Italy 16. The plan here is clearly to rely on the Americans for this with the EA-18G squadrons, plus hope that the F-35s can do some miracle work with "datalink". That's exactly what the UK are trying to with the F-35B.

To put this into perspective, Australia has better SEAD and EW capabilities than most of the European continent, as Australia has 12 EA-18G aircraft.

Russia has also realised through the Ukraine war how important this is, that's why they plan to manufacture 30 Su-34M/ Su-34 NVO fighter planes, which have both EW and SEAD capabilities. Russia only had 10 of them before the war started, and it's only other proper SEAD and EW fighter plane was the Su-24MP, of which only 10 exist.

China have the J-10D and J-16D variants as the aircraft that can do both SEAD and EW. Heavily investing into this area. They also have multiple aircraft types that can fulfil one of the two roles.

The United States has 85 EA-18G aircraft.

I don't think people realise how important these aircraft are to winning wars and achieving air superiority. It is the backbone of any air operation. The whole reason that non stealth jets from the US and NATO were able to carry out such uncontested aerial bombardments with minimal losses during the Gulf war, the bombing of Yugoslavia, Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria, etc, is due to their SEAD and EW capabilities, which were developed after the massive losses in Vietnam. The only aerial losses that occurred during the bombing of Serbia, happend when the EA-6B jets were grounded due to weather. The EA-6B, now replaced by the EA-18G, is credited for the US and NATO achieving such minimal losses during these operations. Being able to simultaneously jam the enemy early warning radar, and take out any active air defense systems with anti radiation missiles, is an essential capability. It can't be split between two platforms. The fact that only Germany and Italy have this capability in Europe is crazy. If America pulls the plug, most of Europe won't be able to take out peer enemy air defenses. Europe is basically entirely dependent on the USA for this.

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[-] Xx_Aru_xX@hexbear.net 43 points 10 months ago
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[-] aaaaaaadjsf@hexbear.net 43 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

https://explain.co.za/2024/01/23/south-africa-vs-israel-at-the-icj-what-comes-next/

excerpts from the article I think are important

I think that South Africa presented the stronger case of the two. I say this for three reasons.

The first is that South Africa’s case was embedded in the case of the ICJ on the issue of genocide and the prosecution of genocide in terms of the genocide convention. It is interesting that the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide is one of the oldest conventions of the United Nations. It was signed in 1948 and came into force in 1951. But no case was accepted by the court (in spite of an attempt in 1951 by African Americans led by W.E.B. DuBois and others in relation to lynching in the United States) until the 1990s, in the case of Bosnia vs Serbia.

That case was brought in the early 90s initially with a request for provisional measures like South Africa has requested, and those were not granted. What happened after that case was various incidents of ethnic cleansing around Bosnia, including the massacre at Srebrenica, where many thousands were systematically murdered, especially men. That case was only finally decided in 2007, though the court cleared Serbia of direct involvement in the genocide. But that case has always been seen as a failure to prevent genocide because the thing around the genocide convention is that it’s not just for prosecuting genocide or the intention. The spirit of it was to prevent genocide from happening ever again and to prevent actions, and that’s what people forget.[...]

The next time the ICJ tried a genocide case was 10 years later when The Gambia brought an application against Myanmar concerning the Rohingya population on behalf of the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC). Much of South Africa’s case is based on the submissions made by Gambia in that case, in which provisional measures were granted. South Africa’s case uses much of the same language used by the court in granting provisional measures against Myanmar. In fact, Myanmar used a lot of the same language that Israel did in claiming that no dispute existed between it and Gambia with the conflict happening within Myanmar, but the ICJ found that as a signatory to the convention, a dispute did exist. So I suppose all of this is to say that the first thing is South Africa is the stronger case in that it’s very much rooted in the court’s case law.

The second thing is that South Africa has done something which hasn’t been done before, which is to collect all the evidence in one place. The information used is sourced from the UN itself in many of these instances, and so the credibility of it shouldn’t be called into question, even though Israel would very much like to do so. They kept referring to this volume that had been submitted to the judges, but it’s not publicly available anywhere. But if you look at the record of proceedings from South Africa and from Israel, South Africa’s record of proceedings is very well-referenced. Every statement and every statistic is backed up in a very detailed way. If you look at the Israeli case, there may be one or two references to case law, but it’s very much a vibes-based case, saying basically, ‘just trust us’.

The third reason is that South Africa’s case is very much placed in the historical context of the 75-year occupation of Palestine by Israel. So if you look at the application, it is a lot more detailed in tracking or in placing everything from the seventh of October in relation to everything that’s happened in the 75 years before. This helps South Africa build the case for genocidal intent. For example, linking the statements of officials to the statements made by soldiers on the ground was very important.[...]

So we’ve had the hearing on the granting of provisional measures, and remember that the court doesn’t have to find that Israel is committing genocide to grant these. All they have to find is that there is a prima facie case to be made or sufficient evidence on the facts presented. And it does look like some of the things happening could fit into the definition of genocide. That’s why South Africa’s case emphasised the plight of dying babies and pregnant women. The thing with preventing births is that you are trying to end a line of people. How do you characterise bombing hospitals with people inside of them, right? Does it fit into the spirit of the genocide convention? The court must still decide all of that. [...]

You know, the European countries especially have a serious blind spot when it comes to Israel. This is in the way they’ve come to view the formation of Israel as a direct atonement for Germany’s sins when it comes to the persecution of Jewish people. There’s actually been a lot of decolonial work around how there’s this view like the Holocaust was perpetrated by aliens or something, that it’s a crime that is so unique and egregious that it compares to nothing that ever came before. There’s a socialisation to imagine that nothing could ever be that bad or compared to it. It is considered blasphemous to compare what happened in the Holocaust to anything else that ever happened, even though there’s a direct line from the genocide that Germany committed in Namibia to the Holocaust. [...]

The US has been selling these 2,000-pound bombs, which are not meant to be used in densely populated areas but which have been dropped onto Gaza. The USA is the only country which manufactures these bombs. So they face the horrible situation of being complicit in genocide, potentially. I’m therefore not surprised that they’ve come out and claimed that South Africa’s case is illegitimate and there’s actually no genocide charge to answer to because they have to protect themselves in case the court ruling goes against them. So it’s cynical in political terms, but this is laying the foundation to claim innocence and deny it when the time comes. [...]

There’s a portion of South African society that still needs to grapple with the fact that South Africa is no longer part of the West. South Africa has not been part of the West since 1994. Nobody on the international scene thinks of South Africa as being part of the West anymore. This case is actually in line with South Africa’s positioning on the global stage since the African National Congress came into power. I mean, one of the first things that the government did in 1994 was to formally join the Non-Aligned Movement. South Africa’s neutral stance in the Ukraine-Russia war showed this, but this war in Palestine has really shattered this myth of our alignment with the West. This war has shattered many myths, including the myth of Western values.

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[-] plinky@hexbear.net 43 points 10 months ago
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[-] RonPaulyShore@hexbear.net 43 points 10 months ago

Waiting for Beto, a tragicomedy in two acts in which two liberals wait around in a Texas wasteland for the titular Beto, but he never arrives.

[-] SoyViking@hexbear.net 42 points 10 months ago

Did anyone know what legal argument the court gave for not ordering a ceasefire? I feel like there's a difference between "we don't have the legal mandate to order you to stop the war part of your genocidal war" and then "we're sure you're willing and able to change your genocidal war into a non-genocidal one"

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[-] ThomasMuentzner@hexbear.net 42 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

We have a Updated on the Bierhall Hitler versus Bauhaus Hitler confrontation in the holed out wastes of the Imperial Core . Apperently the Bierhall Hitlers have advance up to the Gates of the Capital allready , and into the Core of the Montan Industrial Base ..

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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 42 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

Vice governor of Rio Negro responds to Javier Milei's threats: "We could leave the government without energy". Link (Spanish Only)

Vice-governor Pedro Pesatti assured that his province must defend itself and that the President must understand that "Patagonia is the real energy engine".

In declarations to Radio 10, Pesatti assured that "Patagonia is fundamentally the true energy engine of Argentina due to the amount of energy produced here".

"We, the Patagonians, produce 90% of the energy that Argentina needs. In this game of threats, we respond as best we can", he added.

Then, he criticized the President's manners: "It seems to me that it is not possible to use threats as a methodology to govern. Who does he think he is, the one who is currently occupying the presidency? Just another citizen? He cannot say such a thing".

"Río Negro, like Patagonia, are not territories that live hanging from the national budget. On the contrary, they contribute to help Argentina find the roads it needs, every day with their effort, work and resources", explained Pesatti.

Finally, he stated that his province deserves "the utmost respect. We are not in a monarchy, we are in a republic. And in a federal republic". Milei's threat to the governors: "I am going to leave you without money, I am going to melt you all down"

On Thursday afternoon it was leaked that President Javier Milei threatened the governors who object to the Omnibus Law project. "I am going to leave them without money, I am going to melt them all", it was reported that he told his ministers in the Cabinet meeting this Thursday. The strong threat was revealed by the newspaper Clarín and responds to Milei's anger with the governors, without party distinction, who put several conditions on the Base Law, specifically on the withholding taxes issue.

During the meeting with his ministers, the President analyzed the political repercussions after achieving the majority opinion with dissenting opinions in the Lower House on the Base Law, supported the threats made by his Minister of Economy, Luis Caputo to the provincial governors and posed a complex scenario for the vote count in the Lower House.

His words are in addition to those reflected by the head of the economic portfolio who on Wednesday launched a new threat against the provinces by announcing that they will be cut if any of the economic articles of the Omnibus Law is rejected.

"Today I held a meeting with the Secretary of Finance and the Undersecretary of Provinces to outline all the provincial items that will be immediately cut if any of the economic articles is rejected", the official communicated through his X account (formerly Twitter).

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this post was submitted on 22 Jan 2024
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