289
Don't listen to polls, just vote.
can i do both? i kinda like data
I tried to go vote but they told me to come back in three months. Maybe I'll have better luck tomorrow.
Vote early and vote often.
I think I'll send in a few hundred copies of my ballot just to be on the safe side.
FrAuD!!!1
I worry some asshole is gonna see this comment and then Fox News will start talking about liberals on Lemmy coordinating efforts to vote multiple times.
That's the brilliant part though. The protections which prevent this kind of basic election fraud are simple and robust! It is virtually impossible to register multiple votes. If anything, attempts at voting "early and often" would simply illustrate the strength of the current election integrity framework.
Counter argument. When the pollsters say it’s a dead heat, listen to them.
If don’t you want federal abortion bans and more handouts for billionaires, then you need to show up and bring your friends and family.
It’s going to come down to a handful of votes.
Why do people on Lemmy hate polls so much? Who’s going out and saying “I’m not going to vote, we have polls instead”
I think we're all just scarred after 2016, because a lot of polling back then had Clinton beating Trump, and we know how that worked out.
I'm glad they listen to polls. With Harris we actually have a chance.
Harris tops Trump for the first time
I knew Trump was a bottom
The last headline was about edging. I’m a bit worried about the election climax, but I am hoping for postcoital bliss.
Please never make me think about climaxing and Trump in the same context.
I've already filled a lawsuit for emotional damage.
Trump wears the diapers in the relationship
If it wasn't already obvious, the whole Stormy Daniels spanking him with a Forbes magazine confirmed it.
of course he would be; you'd think he'd actually do work in bed?
excuse me now i'm gonna throw up.
For no reason at all I started reading old Archie comics from the very first printing a couple years ago, and I really really appreciated this post
polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls polls
Pollllllllllllllllllllssssssssssssss!
jazz hands
nate silver's election forecasts are what, within 5% 3/4 of the time?
60% of the time, it works every time
5% is a huge margin in polling. He should be within that margin much more often than 75%.
🥵
But do we have a forecast for whether Nate's algorithm will be accurate, based on past accuracy and factors like the economy and fascists pushing a clueless puppet again? Who's watching the watchers?
Nate is an aggregator with a model. Him, 538, and others like them are the ones that are literally watching the watchers. Silver is not a pollster, he’s someone that looks at other pollsters past performance and ranks / calculates how likely they are to be correct in current polls.
Amazing how not running a candidate over 70 has been hugely beneficial for democrats.
The Hill - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)
Information for The Hill:
MBFC: Least Biased - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: Mostly Factual - United States of America
Wikipedia about this source
Media Bias Fact Check | bot supportSearch topics on Ground.News
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4811646-harris-trump-election-forecast-nate-silver/
this post was submitted on 05 Aug 2024
289 points (96.5% liked)
politics
19126 readers
1742 users here now
Welcome to the discussion of US Politics!
Rules:
- Post only links to articles, Title must fairly describe link contents. If your title differs from the site’s, it should only be to add context or be more descriptive. Do not post entire articles in the body or in the comments.
Links must be to the original source, not an aggregator like Google Amp, MSN, or Yahoo.
Example:
- Articles must be relevant to politics. Links must be to quality and original content. Articles should be worth reading. Clickbait, stub articles, and rehosted or stolen content are not allowed. Check your source for Reliability and Bias here.
- Be civil, No violations of TOS. It’s OK to say the subject of an article is behaving like a (pejorative, pejorative). It’s NOT OK to say another USER is (pejorative). Strong language is fine, just not directed at other members. Engage in good-faith and with respect! This includes accusing another user of being a bot or paid actor. Trolling is uncivil and is grounds for removal and/or a community ban.
- No memes, trolling, or low-effort comments. Reposts, misinformation, off-topic, trolling, or offensive. Similarly, if you see posts along these lines, do not engage. Report them, block them, and live a happier life than they do. We see too many slapfights that boil down to "Mom! He's bugging me!" and "I'm not touching you!" Going forward, slapfights will result in removed comments and temp bans to cool off.
- Vote based on comment quality, not agreement. This community aims to foster discussion; please reward people for putting effort into articulating their viewpoint, even if you disagree with it.
- No hate speech, slurs, celebrating death, advocating violence, or abusive language. This will result in a ban. Usernames containing racist, or inappropriate slurs will be banned without warning
We ask that the users report any comment or post that violate the rules, to use critical thinking when reading, posting or commenting. Users that post off-topic spam, advocate violence, have multiple comments or posts removed, weaponize reports or violate the code of conduct will be banned.
All posts and comments will be reviewed on a case-by-case basis. This means that some content that violates the rules may be allowed, while other content that does not violate the rules may be removed. The moderators retain the right to remove any content and ban users.
That's all the rules!
Civic Links
• Congressional Awards Program
• Library of Congress Legislative Resources
• U.S. House of Representatives
Partnered Communities:
• News
founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS