[-] mindlight@lemm.ee 30 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

I checked the stats for the last 4 years here and it looks really strange. Statistics isn't my thing... But it looks like it's wise to be cautious and not to fully trust the numbers.

Around the beginning of last year there was a huge dip in the Windows market share that seemed to be correlating with a peek in "unknown". Windows then catched up in a somewhat erratic matter.

Mac OS also shows a weird behavior. Starts at 16%, up to 21% and the down to 14% between October and November...

It's not likely that a huge number of people decided to buy a Mac and then trash it I've month later. Samr but opposite goes for the windows stats.

I think it looks like there is an uncertainty of more than the total market share Linux is shown to have..

Not saying that Linux isn't increasing on desktop market share. Just saying that numbers seen to have quite a bit error margin and to be cautious if referring to these numbers.

[-] mindlight@lemm.ee 31 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

Ukraine doesn't have to threaten Russia as a whole.

Ukraine can already reach quite deep into Russia. As Ukraine advances deeper into Russia, the deeper can they strike.

It's not just cannon fodder that Putin has to redistribute. For example, hw much air defence do you think Ukraine will find the further they advance from the frontline in the contested areas?

Russia has to move air defence closer to important infrastructure in places they didn't have to protect before. That air defence has to be taken from somewhere. My bets are not on Russia having a shitload of air defence units elsewhere that they can afford moving away from wherever they currently are.

Every unit of Russian air defence moved from Ukraine back home to Russia is making Ukraine closer to attack the Russian supply lines of the front lines. That's just one of all the things Putin is facing right now because of Ukraine advancing into Russia.

You're right, Ukraine doesn't have the luxury of time and men but they are surely hurting Russia badly with what they have. Even if the risk of Ukraine losing more than just the contested areas is big, they do not sell themselves cheaply.

Russia will pay for years and years for the "3-4 days to Kiev".

[-] mindlight@lemm.ee 34 points 3 months ago

While the Ukrainian attack has revealed weaknesses in Russian defences and changed the public narrative of the conflict, Russian officials said Ukraine's "terrorist invasion" would not change the course of the war.

The tone in official Russian statements the last 2-3 weeks tells us something completely different.

Shit ain't fun no more when it shows that Ukraine were able to choose allies that are better than China, India and Iran, right?

Things might still end badly for Ukraine but they will not end up selling themselves cheap. Even if Russia were able to gain full control over Ukraine, the cost of keeping the control is way too high compared to what Russia can afford.

[-] mindlight@lemm.ee 31 points 5 months ago

I'm pretty sure Stormy Daniels did a lot of things with Trump, but washing his feet with her tears was not one of the things she did when his wife was pregnant.

[-] mindlight@lemm.ee 35 points 6 months ago

I'd argue that Windows 11 is a result of what Google has been getting away with Android.

Google has shown Microsoft that the users happily pay money for giving up the control of their device. While Android was open 10 years ago, Google has worked hard to lock it down for 99% of the end users. The amount of personal data they get from each device is staggering.

[-] mindlight@lemm.ee 35 points 7 months ago

That's exactly the opposite of how religion works and the reason why I firmly believe that there should be a clear separation between state and church.

People can believe in whatever delusions they want as long as they don't force them on me.

[-] mindlight@lemm.ee 31 points 7 months ago

Microsoft has no choice.

Arm has been dominating the biggest growing market mobile (everything from phones to tablets and now). Intel is fighting a three front war now. While one battlefront is the mobile market where ARM essentially is the only choice, another battlefront is dominated by Nvidia with the processors for graphics and ML/AI. If that wasn't bad enough, AMD is attacking hard on Intel's home arena: PC CPUs.

When Apple dropped Intel for M1 they showed that Arm wasn't just some niche processor technology for less powerful devices, such as mobile devices.

So not only is AMD taking market shares in the PC market, ARM is on the rise and doesn't look very good for Intel right now.

Is Intel really capable of innovating their way out of their current path to extinction?

[-] mindlight@lemm.ee 32 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

No. Middle management is a lot of repeating tasks that an AI could do. The thing is that were not talking about replacing all middle management, we're talking about giving 10% of the managers the tools to run 90% of the repetitive, tedious and boring tasks.

[-] mindlight@lemm.ee 32 points 7 months ago

Wall of text, I know, but I had trouble sleeping so... Yeah... Here goes;

Knowledge is power.

Here in Sweden there's a service that has been pouring money on marketing the last two years. The service is called House ID and they let you store all important documents about your house for free.... Free... Free?

So what will they make money on?

Well, let's jump 10 years into the future and just imagine the possibilities.

Criminals can easily check what house owners have upgraded their locks or purchased home alarm systems. They could even purchase data about all the houses in an area that has a specific lock type with a known flaw.

Your phone is, with all its sensors, a fantastic surveillance device and people happily take it with them wherever they go.

In the 90's, when I worked for IBM, the buzzword was "Data mining". Ordinary people never understood what it was and I was often asked about it. Extremely simplified: look at the data you have and try to read between the lines to generate data that you originally didn't have.

The biggest chain of convenient stores in Sweden launched banking services and a pay card around this time. If you used the card for grocery shopping you'd get a monthly bonus and great offers and discounts. So I gave an innocent example of what your purchase data could be used for. They could see that a woman purchased pads on fairly the same time each month or quarter. Now, when cross checking this with purchase history from other women they could see that a lot of those women also purchased chocolate at the same time they purchase pads. Something something with a lot of women getting cravings of chocolate around the same time each month. Yes, it's a generalization but still a real life example in this case. So they sent out coupons for chocolate, matching the time around when the customer normally purchased pads, and what do you know? The sale of chocolate increased. Significantly.

Now, pads isn't a very sensitive subject of you're older than 15... But think what data Tinder registers. They can't know for sure if you're liberal, conservative or even a communist... or can they? By looking at your behavior in their app, what you did, where (Tinder uses GPS, remember?) you did it and when you did it, they can draw conclusions about a lot of things that you never intended to share with them.

Today there are sensors placed strategically in shopping malls that registers what store windows you stopped to look at. They actually know, with a pretty high certainty, exactly what product in the window that caught your attention. How they can be so accurate you say? Because you have Bluetooth activated and the mall app installed. They just triangulate your exact position.

All of this is data about you that is correct. You did all of that and it was registered.

But what if corrupted data was registered? What if that data was the basis for you getting a loan for your dream house? How do you correct a conclusion that is obviously wrong when the bank just tells you that what data they purchase, from who and how they process it is a business secret and they refuse to share any details.

Now, all sorts of data has always been collected but in the old time it was stored on paper and cross comparison/compiling data was an expensive and tedious task. Today it is not. Today your phone could store and process data that would take months to process in the old times.

That slowness/inertia acted as a law of nature, protecting us and our life from being mapped.

It's not just that data is collected or what data is collected... It's what it might be used for that should bother you. Not only what is used for today but also what it could be used for tomorrow.

[-] mindlight@lemm.ee 33 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago)

Sweden has prioritized extra insulation since the oil crisis in the 70's. I think it's not only about countries being bombed in WW II, but also about bigger political decisions.

Edit: Boned? Go home autocorrect, you're drunk!

[-] mindlight@lemm.ee 31 points 8 months ago

So Intel, Apple, every other company that develops ARM based processors, AMD and Nvidia has just missed this technology ?

We're talking about trillions of dollars in just R'n'D investments and this technology just flew under the radar?

If it sounds too good to be true, it is probably too good to be true.

[-] mindlight@lemm.ee 35 points 10 months ago

It's not just about if Russia can manage without Europe/USA, it's about Europe managing without Russia.

So ok, China and India actively supports and essentially bankrolls Russias colonization strategy and this might show as growth. So in short, it's possible for Putin to rearrange his business, sell oil below market price, and show growth, but in the long run its not a viable solution to run a country on.

Add to this the cost of war and loss of manpower. 3-400 000 might seem like a small amount of people when Russia has a population of 147 000 000. But it's not. It's Russia slowly slowly depleating their civilian workforce in a situation where Russia has a declining birth rate with 2023 being the lowest since 2014.

So if shit was going so great, Russian salaries would have skyrocketed and Russia would have their top model tanks on the battlefield but none of that is happening. Instead we see a lot of weird shit from the former Soviet Union on the battlefield. Add to this that back in October there were a lot of press about Russians having less money for necessities than anytime in the last 5 years.

So while Putin has seen no change in quality of life, rest assured that the average Russian has less money to spend on necessities.

Remember: Putin and his friends has been peddling the "everything is A-okay"-bullshit for over a year now but it's just propaganda. Even though there might be periods where Russian economy looks like it's going great it's just not true for the long perspective.

When you get chemo it kills both ordinary cells and cancer cells. However, the body is normally capable of producing more cells than a tumor which means that with enough time more tumor than body will disappear.

While we hurt, Russia hurts more and that's a good thing.

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mindlight

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