The space of possible evolved biological minds is far smaller than the space of possible ASI minds

Achkshually, Yudkowskian Orthodoxy says any truly super-intelligent minds will converge on Expected Value Maximization, Instrumental Goals, and Timeless-Decision Theory (as invented by Eliezer), so clearly the ASI mind space is actually quite narrow.

He's set up a community primed to think the scientific establishment's focus on falsifiablility and peer review is fundamentally worse than "Bayesian" methods, and that you don't need credentials or even conventional education or experience to have revolutionary good ideas, and strengthened the already existing myth of lone genii pushing science forward (as opposed to systematic progress). Attracting cranks was an inevitable outcome. In fact, Eliezer occasionally praises cranks when he isn't able to grasp their sheer crankiness (for instance, GeneSmith's ideas are total nonsense for anyone with more familiarity with genetics than skimming relevant-sounding scientific publications and garbage pop-sci journalism, but Eliezer commented favorably). The only thing that has changed is ChatGPT and it's clones glazing cranks first making them even more deluded. And of course, someone (cough Eliezer) was hyping up ChatGPT as far back as GPT-2, so it's only to be expected that cranks would think LLMs were capable of providing legitimate useful feedback.

Not a fan of yud but getting daily emails from delulus would drive me to wish for the basilisk

He's deliberately cultivated an audience willing to hear cranks out, so this is exactly what he deserves.

His fears are my hope, that Trump fucking up hard enough will send the pendulum of public opinion the other way (and then the Democrats use that to push some actually leftist policies through... it's a hope not an actual prediction).

He cultivated this incompetence and worshiped at the altar of the Silicon Valley CEO, so seeing him confronted with Elon's and Trump's clumsy incompetence is some nice schadenfreude.

One comment refuses to leave me: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DfrSZaf3JC8vJdbZL/how-to-make-superbabies?commentId=C7MvCZHbFmeLdxyAk

The commenter makes and extended tortured analogy to machine learning... in order to say that maybe genes with correlations to IQ won't add to IQ linearly. It's an encapsulation of many lesswrong issues: veneration of machine learning, overgeneralizing of comp sci into unrelated fields, a need to use paragraphs to say what a single sentence could, and a failure to actually state firm direct objections to blatantly stupid ideas.

Soyweiser has likely accurately identified that you're JAQing in bad faith, but on the slim off chance you actually want to educate yourself, the rationalwiki page on Biological Determinism and Eugenics is a decent place to start to see the standard flaws and fallacies used to argue for pro-eugenic positions. Rationalwiki has a scathing and sarcastic tone, but that tone is well deserved in this case.

To provide a brief summary, in general, the pro-eugenicists misunderstand correlation and causation, misunderstand the direction of causation, overestimate what little correlation there actually is, fail to understand environmental factors (especially systemic inequalities that might require leftist solutions to actually have any chance at fixing), and refuse to acknowledge the context of genetics research (i.e. all the Neo-Nazis and alt righters that will jump on anything they can get).

The lesswrongers and SSCs sometimes whine they don't get fair consideration, but considering they take Charles Murray the slightest bit seriously they can keep whining.

His replies have gone up in upvotes substantially since yesterday, so it looks like a bit of light brigading is going on.

Reddit can be really hit or miss, but I'm glad subredditdrama and /r/wikipedia aren't buying TWG's bullshit. Well, some of the /r/wikipedia assume TWG is merely butthurt over losing edit wars as opposed to a more advanced agenda, but that is fair of them.

I chose to have children, be a father and a husband, live an honest industrious life as an example to my offspring, and attempt to preserve my way of life through them.

Wow, just a few words off the 14 words.

I find it kind of irritating how someone that doesn't familiarize themselves with white supremacists rhetoric and methods might manage to view that phrase innocuously. But it really isn't that hard to see through the bullshit once you've familiarized themselves with the most basic dog whistles and slogans.

Nice effort post! It feels like the LLM is pattern matching to common logic tests even when that is the totally incorrect thing to do. Which is pretty strong evidence against LLM's properly doing reasoning as opposed to getting logic test and puzzles and benchmarks right through sheer memorization and pattern matching.

Roko is also violating their rules of assuming charitably and good faith about everything and going meta whenever possible. Because defending racists and racism is fine, as long as your tone is careful enough and you go up a layer of meta to avoid discussing the object level claims.

I don't think even that does it. Richard Hanania, one of Manifest's promoted speakers, wrote "Why Do I Hate Pronouns More Than Genocide?".

The hilarious part to me is that they imagine Eliezer moderates himself or self-censors particularly in response to sneerclub. Like of all the possible reasons why Eliezer may not want to endorse transphobic rhetoric about pronouns (concern about general PR besides sneerclub, a more complex nuanced understanding of language, or even genuine compassion for trans people), sneerclubs disapproval is the one that sticks out to the author. I guess good job on us? Keep it up!