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this post was submitted on 09 Apr 2025
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I wonder when the light bulb is finally going to turn on over Trump's head containing what is effectively Trump's jellybean sized brain. And Trump's going to finally realize that "Oh, shit. I can't beat China in trade war or a currency war. Bad. Very, very bad."
After speaking with many very smart people (the best!), I’m starting to think maybe - just MAYBE - you can’t actually win a trade war with China. They have too many factories, too much stuff. Not fair! I was set up! Who knew economics could be this complicated???
Trump doesnt think he has ever lost anything, even though his businesses have failed many times. He's always correct and always the expert on everything.
I think we need to abandon the "he is bad at business, look how many bankruptcies he has had" because it distorts what is really going on and also assumes that he is the same as what we were taught in school both about business people and heads of states/governments, which is a specious assumption. When we assume that the business owner's goal is to have a successful and profitable business and, therefore, Trump is bad at being a business owner, we miss the fact that Trump's (and modern finance capital's) version of business is to suck the value out for personal gain and leave an empty husk behind, which they put into bankruptcy, leaving the creditors holding the bag. "Trump's businesses failed" but Trump succeeded (the old Monorail scam).
Likewise, we assume that Trump's interests with the US align with the long-term well being of the US. Like his bankrupt businesses, Trump can personally succeed while the US completely fails. He doesn't care that he might lose a trade war or a currency war because the US and the US people are the losers in that, while he still plans to personally come out on top of whatever mountain is left in the aftermath. It's just like all the tech-bro billionaires building
bunkers to go live in in other countries - their plan is to leave behind a hollow husk of the US and take all their gains to their personal libertarian paradise. They still "win" even though the US and the rest of the people there completely lose.
Hey, that's what my lib friends say about me except I am actually always right.
What light bulbs? Nobody in the USA can afford light bulbs anymore.