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this post was submitted on 09 Apr 2025
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I'm starting to think that decoupling from China is precursor to war. Decoupling after declaring war would cripple the US military machine so maybe this is a gamble to get their house in order before some bigger offensive.
It's certainly a necessary precedent to war, but thats because the US needs to establish supply chains independent of China in order to wage war without destroying their economy. Instead they're just destroying their economy, making them even less capable of waging that war in the first place.
Well they are very stupid, that's true. If they wanted to decouple from China then the smart thing would be to not crash their economy and piss off every single imperial trading partner.
with a side benefit of having lots of unemployed people in the states to press into military service
That's the official reasoning even. They say it's to make the "defense" industry more independent. And whether planned or not, it increases the likelihood of global war:
A similar thing happened in the lead up to the great depression and World War II: faced with a recession, the ruling class turned to protectionism with the Tariff Act of 1930. With the very high tarrifs, the recession worsened into the Great Depression until World War II saved the economy by enabling mass employment.
War is great for the capitalist class, if they want to win some time against an economic crisis, because it's a way to have mass government spending without cutting into anyones profits. If value gets created by a not for-profit entity in any sector, profits go down, because businesses who need to make a profit can't compete. Capitalists love war, because it only destroys value instead.
It's the golden triple chance for profit: first accumulation by dispossession (taxes and austerity to finance the war effort flowing directly to weapons manufacturers), then imperialism (opening new markets, stealing resources), then restarting the production cycle (lucrative contracts for rebuilding efforts after everything is destroyed).
Leftists reaction to the tarrifs must be to shift organizing to focus more strongly on anti war efforts.