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Putin Still Holds All the Cards in Ukraine, With No Reason to Fold
(www.bloomberg.com)
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this post was submitted on 18 May 2025
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There is zero chance of Russia withdrawing from the current territories at this point. Also, why would Russia give shit if France and UK sent troops to Ukraine. Russian army is at around 1.5 million troops, while the EU could scrape up a few thousand troops at best. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/british-army-troops-ukraine-defence-b2701635.html
Meanwhile, the US provides the bulk of NATO accounting for over 70% of arms and majority of the troops. Without the US, there is no NATO. Anybody who understands basic arithmetic can see how absurd this whole notion is.
Numbers alone don't count. During World War II, Germany could have conquered Russia if it didn't have to fight the powerful US in the west. That's the reason Putin might accept the plan. Without the US in Europe, Putin might think he can conquer Europe.
Germany was already losing when the US entered the war
No. In December 1941 when the US entered the war after Hitler foolishly declared war on the US, Russia had simply stopped Germany outside of Moscow.
Germany was already in retreat
No. Russia regained some land but, in the summer of 1942, Germany went on the offensive.
the germans had already lost by the winter of 1941. barbarossa had no strategic path to victory except to win it all during that one summer and fall and collapse the SU. when that didnt happen, they were fucked.
they kept the war going cos they were fascists, but they had no chance of winning. they had no conception of how to achieve victory (beyond trying the same thing they did in 1941 but with a worse army, while the soviets had a better army). they had already lost, they just refused to admit it for years.