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The Last of Us will most likely last 4 seasons
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So I haven't played the games and don't know where the story is heading, but one key difference is that the creator of game story is heavily involved in the TV series. For Game of Thrones George RR Martin was also heavily involved in the earlier seasons, only really departing after several major changes over several seasons.
Additionally, as I understand, each Last of Us game tells a complete story. So unlike Game of Thrones which was constantly building, the Last of Us ends. Not to say someone couldn't write more story, but the main story reaches an ending.
I think if the series tries to stretch faaaaar beyond the games, you might be right. Of course maybe the story for Last of Us 3 already exists, so who knows.
I bet Neil has ideas for a third game, but I doubt he’d want the show to tell that story before the game did. I could be wrong, though. Maybe he’s good with not making a third game, but co-writing with Craig.
IIRC they also have content they cut (like the Jackson stuff), so maybe there’s more material already sitting around.