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call your representatives now
(lemmy.cafe)
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this post was submitted on 02 Jul 2025
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pretty sure this is about the general election, after the primary, thus it’s blue against red (or blue against blue against red since apparently cuomo is deciding not to take the hint)
im also maybe seeing that schumer was saying some stuff positive about mamdami but just didn’t endorse him?
i don’t have the time to figure out all that nuance before i send this reply so for now i’ll leave it as a question mark and encourage investigation into trusted sources
the red (sliwa) candidate aint winning lmfao. Its practically blue (Mamdani) vs blue (Cuomo) vs blue-defected-to-red (adams)
There is no way a corporate dem will endorse mandani, their favorite pawn (cuomo) is still in the race as the runner up.
@LifeInMultipleChoice@lemmy.world
@goldenquetzal@lemmy.world
I agree that Silwa wouldn't normally win, but if you have centrists voting for Cuomo and Adams, some centrists and left of that voting for Mamdani, the 300,000+ voters out of a million that voted for Silwa last election may come closer than one would expect.
Hopefully it'll be 40% Mamdani, 20, 20, 20. But if it appears close I can see Cuomo or Adams "endorsing the other and dropping hoping to get a chance
sliwa is polling at 7% in the latest poll
Even if we assume he get doubled that like 15%
The remainder split 3 way evenly is about 28%
sliwa would have to win like 26% then have the 3 split evenly 24.6 + 24.6 + 24.6
Extremely rare for that to even be possible.
My bets are 60% chance Mamdani wins, 35% cuomo win, 4% adams win, 1% sliwa win.